Digimarc Price Prediction

Digimarc Corporation -- USA Stock  

USD 25.85  0.40  1.52%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Digimarc headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Digimarc Corporation brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Digimarc hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Digimarc Corporation from the prospective of Digimarc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Digimarc over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see Digimarc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Digimarc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

 Next price density 
Expected price to next headline
March 23, 2018
Current Value
Downside upside
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
Upside upside
Digimarc is not very risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Digimarc is based on 1 month time horizon.

Digimarc Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.70% 3.40% 0.45%  0.38% 1 Events / Month1 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

Digimarc Hype Timeline

Digimarc Corporation is currently traded for25.85. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.45 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.38. Digimarc Corporation is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 25.4. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 523.08%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.74% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.7%. The volatility of related hype on Digimarc is about 629.63% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 25.47. About 12.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Digimarc Corporation was currently reported as 7.33. The company recorded loss per share of 2.44. Digimarc Corporation last dividend was issued on 2014-05-01. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be very soon.
Additionally see Digimarc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Digimarc Related Hype Analysis

Short fall
At Risk
Digimarc Corporation(0.65) 1 per month 0.00 (0.15)  0.00  3.56 (3.06)  13.09 
VASCO Data Security International Inc(0.25) 1 per month 0.00 (0.0127)  0.00  2.07 (2.62)  11.23 
Datalink Corporation 0.00 1 per month 0.00  2.71  0.00  0.09 (0.18)  0.36 
Dell Technologies Inc(2.19) 1 per month 1.41  0.35 (1.03)  2.16 (2.27)  5.11 
Violin Memory Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.0452)  0.00  0.00  0.00  5.72 
Verint Systems Inc(0.15) 1 per month 0.00  0.15  0.00  1.53 (1.52)  4.77