Digimarc Stock Price Prediction

DMRC Stock  USD 27.18  0.16  0.59%   
The relative strength indicator of Digimarc's share price is below 30 at the present time suggesting that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Digimarc, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

28

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Digimarc stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Digimarc shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Digimarc's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Digimarc and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Digimarc's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Digimarc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Digimarc's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.35)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(1.17)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(1.07)
Wall Street Target Price
35
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.32)
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Digimarc based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Digimarc stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Digimarc over a specific investment horizon. Using Digimarc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Digimarc from the perspective of Digimarc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Digimarc using Digimarc's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Digimarc using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Digimarc's stock price.

Digimarc Implied Volatility

    
  60.54  
Digimarc's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Digimarc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Digimarc's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Digimarc stock will not fluctuate a lot when Digimarc's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Digimarc. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Digimarc to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Digimarc because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Digimarc after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 26.33  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Digimarc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Digimarc Stock refer to our How to Trade Digimarc Stock guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Digimarc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.4527.2931.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.2129.0532.88
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
27.3030.0033.30
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.33-0.31-0.3
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Digimarc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Digimarc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Digimarc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Digimarc.

Digimarc After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Digimarc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Digimarc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Digimarc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Digimarc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Digimarc's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Digimarc's historical news coverage. Digimarc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.49 and 30.17, respectively. We have considered Digimarc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
27.18
26.33
After-hype Price
30.17
Upside
Digimarc is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Digimarc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Digimarc Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Digimarc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Digimarc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Digimarc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.38 
3.81
  0.66 
  0.43 
9 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
27.18
26.33
2.55 
220.23  
Notes

Digimarc Hype Timeline

Digimarc is currently traded for 27.18. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.66, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.43. Digimarc is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 26.33. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -2.55%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.38%. The volatility of related hype on Digimarc is about 338.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.61. About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 2.26. Digimarc last dividend was issued on the 1st of May 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Digimarc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Digimarc Stock refer to our How to Trade Digimarc Stock guide.

Digimarc Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Digimarc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Digimarc's future price movements. Getting to know how Digimarc rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Digimarc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Digimarc Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Digimarc price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Digimarc using various technical indicators. When you analyze Digimarc charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Digimarc Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Digimarc stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Digimarc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Digimarc based on analysis of Digimarc hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Digimarc's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Digimarc's related companies.
 2021 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield9.9E-51.14E-41.08E-4
Price To Sales Ratio24.5121.0622.12

Story Coverage note for Digimarc

The number of cover stories for Digimarc depends on current market conditions and Digimarc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Digimarc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Digimarc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Digimarc Short Properties

Digimarc's future price predictability will typically decrease when Digimarc's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Digimarc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Digimarc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Digimarc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding20.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments27.2 M
When determining whether Digimarc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Digimarc's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Digimarc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Digimarc Stock:
Check out Digimarc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Digimarc Stock refer to our How to Trade Digimarc Stock guide.
You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.

Complementary Tools for Digimarc Stock analysis

When running Digimarc's price analysis, check to measure Digimarc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Digimarc is operating at the current time. Most of Digimarc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Digimarc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Digimarc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Digimarc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Digimarc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Digimarc. If investors know Digimarc will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Digimarc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(2.26)
Revenue Per Share
1.715
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.286
Return On Assets
(0.31)
Return On Equity
(0.58)
The market value of Digimarc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Digimarc that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Digimarc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Digimarc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Digimarc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Digimarc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Digimarc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Digimarc is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Digimarc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.