Dominos Pizza Stock Price Prediction
| DPZ Stock | USD 473.55 8.11 1.68% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Dominos Pizza stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Dominos Pizza shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Dominos Pizza's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Dominos Pizza and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Dominos Pizza's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Dominos Pizza, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Dominos Pizza's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.301 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 3.41 | EPS Estimate Current Year 15.78 | EPS Estimate Next Year 17.77 | Wall Street Target Price 502.46 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Dominos Pizza based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Dominos stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Dominos Pizza over a specific investment horizon. Using Dominos Pizza hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dominos Pizza from the perspective of Dominos Pizza response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Dominos Pizza using Dominos Pizza's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Dominos using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Dominos Pizza's stock price.
Dominos Pizza Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Dominos Pizza's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Dominos. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Dominos Pizza stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Dominos Pizza may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Dominos Pizza and may potentially protect profits, hedge Dominos Pizza with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 403.1909 | Short Percent 0.0488 | Short Ratio 2.81 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.7 M | 50 Day MA 455.972 |
Dominos Pizza Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Dominos Pizza's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Dominos. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Dominos can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Dominos Pizza. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Dominos Pizza's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Dominos Pizza.
Dominos Pizza Implied Volatility | 41.17 |
Dominos Pizza's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Dominos Pizza stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Dominos Pizza's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Dominos Pizza stock will not fluctuate a lot when Dominos Pizza's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Dominos Pizza. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Dominos Pizza to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Dominos because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Dominos Pizza after-hype prediction price | USD 483.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Dominos contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Dominos Pizza will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.57% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Dominos Pizza trading at USD 473.55, that is roughly USD 12.19 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Dominos Pizza's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Dominos Pizza options at the current volatility level of 41.17%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Dominos |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dominos Pizza's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Dominos Pizza After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Dominos Pizza at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Dominos Pizza or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Dominos Pizza, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Dominos Pizza Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Dominos Pizza's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Dominos Pizza's historical news coverage. Dominos Pizza's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 433.49 and 485.18, respectively. We have considered Dominos Pizza's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Dominos Pizza is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Dominos Pizza is based on 3 months time horizon.
Dominos Pizza Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Dominos Pizza is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dominos Pizza backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Dominos Pizza, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 1.58 | 1.94 | 0.64 | 9 Events / Month | 11 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
473.55 | 483.60 | 0.40 |
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Dominos Pizza Hype Timeline
On the 19th of April Dominos Pizza is traded for 473.55. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.94, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.64. Dominos is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 483.6 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 17.12%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.4%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Dominos Pizza is about 52.09%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 474.19. The company reported the last year's revenue of 4.48 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 519.12 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.16 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Dominos Pizza Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Dominos Pizza Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Dominos Pizza's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Dominos Pizza's future price movements. Getting to know how Dominos Pizza's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Dominos Pizza may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Dominos Pizza Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Dominos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dominos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dominos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Dominos Pizza Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Dominos Pizza stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Dominos Pizza, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Dominos Pizza based on analysis of Dominos Pizza hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Dominos Pizza's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Dominos Pizza's related companies. | 2017 | 2018 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0104 | 0.0127 | 0.0117 | 0.0112 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.91 | 2.73 | 3.23 | 3.39 |
Story Coverage note for Dominos Pizza
The number of cover stories for Dominos Pizza depends on current market conditions and Dominos Pizza's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dominos Pizza is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dominos Pizza's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Dominos Pizza Short Properties
Dominos Pizza's future price predictability will typically decrease when Dominos Pizza's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Dominos Pizza often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Dominos Pizza's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dominos Pizza's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 114.1 M |
Check out Dominos Pizza Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Dominos Stock please use our How to Invest in Dominos Pizza guide.You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Complementary Tools for Dominos Stock analysis
When running Dominos Pizza's price analysis, check to measure Dominos Pizza's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dominos Pizza is operating at the current time. Most of Dominos Pizza's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dominos Pizza's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dominos Pizza's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dominos Pizza to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Dominos Pizza's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dominos Pizza. If investors know Dominos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Dominos Pizza listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.301 | Dividend Share 4.84 | Earnings Share 14.65 | Revenue Per Share 127.683 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.031 |
The market value of Dominos Pizza is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dominos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dominos Pizza's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dominos Pizza's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Dominos Pizza's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dominos Pizza's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dominos Pizza's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dominos Pizza is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dominos Pizza's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.