DB Crude Price Prediction

DB Crude Oil Double Short ETN -- USA Etf  

USD 118.59  0.59  0.5%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring DB Crude headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with DB Crude Oil Double Short ETN brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With DB Crude hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of DB Crude Oil Double Short ETN from the prospective of DB Crude response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on DB Crude over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see DB Crude Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

DB Crude estimiated after-hype price volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline
October 19, 2017
118.59
Current Value
Downside upside
Downside
110.96
118.49
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
126.02
Upside
Upside upside
DB Crude is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of DB Crude Oil is based on 1 month time horizon.

DB Crude Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.31% 2.51% 0.1%  0.06% 1 Events / Month1 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
118.59118.490.08%
809.68% 

DB Crude Hype Timeline

On 19 of October DB Crude Oil Double Short ETN is traded for  118.59 . This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.1 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. DB Crude Oil Double Short ETN is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 118.49. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 809.68%. The closing price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.08% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.31%. The volatility of related hype on DB Crude is about 1407.48% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 118.53. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Additionally see DB Crude Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

DB Crude Related Hype Analysis