DB Crude Performance

DB Crude Oil Double Short ETN -- USA Etf  

USD 81.05  0.60  0.73%

The entity owns Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.8308 which denotes to the fact that as returns on market increase, returns on owning DB Crude are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, DB Crude is likely to outperform the market.. Although it is extremely important to respect DB Crude Oil existing price patterns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on equity price patterns. The way in which we are predicting future performance of any etf is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By examining DB Crude Oil technical indicators you can at this moment evaluate if the expected return of 0.1438% will be sustainable into the future.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

DB Crude Oil Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  7,978  in DB Crude Oil Double Short ETN on January 21, 2018 and sell it today you would earn a total of  186.60  from holding DB Crude Oil Double Short ETN or generate 2.34% return on investment over 30 days. DB Crude Oil Double Short ETN is generating 0.1438% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.6636% on return distribution over 30 days investment horizon. In other words, 24% of equities are less volatile than the company and above 98% of equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 30 days.
 Daily Expected Return (%) 
      Risk (%) 
Considering 30-days investment horizon, DB Crude Oil Double Short ETN is expected to generate 1.53 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.53 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The DOW is currently generating roughly -0.1 per unit of risk.

DB Crude Realized Returns

DB Crude Daily Price Distribution

The median price of DB Crude for the period between Sun, Jan 21, 2018 and Tue, Feb 20, 2018 is 79.3484 with a coefficient of variation of 5.36. The daily time series for the period is distributed with a sample standard deviation of 4.28, arithmetic mean of 79.87, and mean deviation of 3.46. The Etf received some media coverage during the period.
3 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in DB Crude Oil Double Short ETN are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 30 days.

One Month Efficiency

DB Crude Sharpe Ratio = 0.054
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Estimated Market Risk

 2.66
  actual daily
 
 76 %
of total potential
  

Expected Return

 0.14
  actual daily
 
 2 %
of total potential
  

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.05
  actual daily
 
 3 %
of total potential
  
Based on monthly moving average DB Crude is performing at about 3% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of DB Crude by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.