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Directv risk analysis

 
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DIRECTV

Stock@NASDAQ 
United States USD
   
1.599
   
Macroaxis considers Directv relatively not risky. DIRECTV secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.04 which denotes DIRECTV had -0.04% of return per unit of volatility over the last 1 month. Macroaxis way of predicting risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and un-systematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. DIRECTV exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to make sure to check DIRECTV Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05), Mean Deviation of 0.9688 and Downside Deviation of 1.31 to check risk estimate we provide.
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Investment horizon: 
  30 Days    Login   to change

Projected Return Density against Market

Considering 30-days investment horizon, the stock has beta cooficient of 1.17 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, Directv will likely underperform. In addition to that, DIRECTV has alpha of 1.17 implying that it can potentially generate 1.17% excess return over S&P 500 after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
Predicted Return Density
 
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Returns   
Directv   S&P 500   
Considering 30-days investment horizon, the coefficient of variation of Directv is -2388.65. The daily returns are destributed with a variance of 1.76 and standard deviation of 1.33. The mean deviation of DIRECTV is currently at 0.97. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (S&P 500) has volatility of 0.84
alpha for DIRECTV(alpha)= 1.17 
beta for DIRECTV(beta) = 1.17 
volatility for DIRECTV(volatility) = 1.33 

Actual Return Volatility

DIRECTV has volatility of 1.33% on return distribution over 30 days investment horizon. S&P 500 shows 0.84% volatility of returns over 30 trading days.
Daily Returns (%)
Market   Equity   
 
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June 12 2013
 61.78 
  
 60.16 
(1.62)  Macroaxis: -2.622207834250574 Down   2.62%  
Lowest period price (30 days)
May 21 2013
 64.73 
  
 65.00 
0.27  Macroaxis: 0.4171172562953746 Up   0.42%  
Highest period price (30 days)
    
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DIRECTV has a volatility of 1.33 and is 1.58 times more volatile than S&P 500. 16% of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Directv. Compared with the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of DIRECTV is lower than 16 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 30 days. Use DIRECTV to protect against small markets fluctuations. The stock experiences somewhat bearish sentiment, but market may correct it shortly. As market goes up, the company is expected to significantly outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Directv will likely underperform.

Directv correlation with market

Poor diversification
Overlapping area represents amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding DIRECTV and equity matching GSPC index in the same portfolio

Directv Current Risk Indicators

Risk Adjusted Performance(0.03)
Market Risk Adjusted Performance(0.05)
Mean Deviation0.9688
Semi-Deviation1.34
Downside Deviation1.31
Coefficient Of Variation(2,389)
Standard Deviation1.33

Suggested Divercification Pairs

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iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index vs. DIRECTV
iShares MSCI ACWI ex US Financials Index vs. DIRECTV
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ActivIdentity Corporation vs. DIRECTV
iShares Russell 1000 Index vs. DIRECTV
SPDR Dow Jones REIT vs. DIRECTV
iShares MSCI EAFE Index vs. DIRECTV

 
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