Grupo Elektra (Mexico) Price Prediction
| ELEKTRA Stock | MXN 1,107 40.93 3.56% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
43
Oversold | Overbought |
Grupo Elektra SAB stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Grupo Elektra shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Grupo Elektra's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Grupo Elektra and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Grupo Elektra's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Grupo Elektra SAB, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Grupo Elektra based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Grupo stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Grupo Elektra over a specific investment horizon. Using Grupo Elektra hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Grupo Elektra SAB from the perspective of Grupo Elektra response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Grupo Elektra. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Grupo Elektra to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Grupo because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Grupo Elektra after-hype prediction price | MXN 1107.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Grupo |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Grupo Elektra's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Grupo Elektra After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Grupo Elektra at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Grupo Elektra or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Grupo Elektra, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Grupo Elektra Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Grupo Elektra's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Grupo Elektra's historical news coverage. Grupo Elektra's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1,107 and 1,108, respectively. We have considered Grupo Elektra's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Grupo Elektra is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Grupo Elektra SAB is based on 3 months time horizon.
Grupo Elektra Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Grupo Elektra is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Grupo Elektra backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Grupo Elektra, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1,107 | 1,107 | 0.00 |
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Grupo Elektra Hype Timeline
Grupo Elektra SAB is currently traded for 1,107on Mexican Exchange of Mexico. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Grupo is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Grupo Elektra is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1,107. About 79.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Grupo Elektra was currently reported as 417.96. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 356.38. Grupo Elektra SAB recorded earning per share (EPS) of 20.83. The entity last dividend was issued on the 24th of June 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Grupo Elektra Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Grupo Elektra Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Grupo Elektra's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Grupo Elektra's future price movements. Getting to know how Grupo Elektra's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Grupo Elektra may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GFINBURO | Grupo Financiero Inbursa | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.44 | 0.06 | 3.60 | (2.43) | 9.55 | |
| TLEVISACPO | Grupo Televisa SAB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.69 | 0.01 | 5.09 | (4.17) | 28.14 | |
| GCARSOA1 | Grupo Carso SAB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.56 | (4.61) | 9.49 | |
| KIMBERA | Kimberly Clark de Mxico | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.06 | (2.23) | 8.60 | |
| GFNORTEO | Grupo Financiero Banorte | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.19 | 0.05 | 2.70 | (2.24) | 6.73 |
Grupo Elektra Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Grupo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Grupo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Grupo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Grupo Elektra Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Grupo Elektra stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Grupo Elektra SAB, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Grupo Elektra based on analysis of Grupo Elektra hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Grupo Elektra's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Grupo Elektra's related companies. Story Coverage note for Grupo Elektra
The number of cover stories for Grupo Elektra depends on current market conditions and Grupo Elektra's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Grupo Elektra is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Grupo Elektra's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Grupo Elektra Short Properties
Grupo Elektra's future price predictability will typically decrease when Grupo Elektra's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Grupo Elektra SAB often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Grupo Elektra's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Grupo Elektra's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 245.6 M |
Check out Grupo Elektra Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Complementary Tools for Grupo Stock analysis
When running Grupo Elektra's price analysis, check to measure Grupo Elektra's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Grupo Elektra is operating at the current time. Most of Grupo Elektra's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Grupo Elektra's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Grupo Elektra's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Grupo Elektra to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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