Equity LifeStyle Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

ELS -- USA Stock  

USD 95.10  0.38  0.40%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Equity LifeStyle Properties which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Equity LifeStyle hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Equity LifeStyle Properties from the prospective of Equity LifeStyle response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Equity LifeStyle over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see Equity LifeStyle Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Equity LifeStyle After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
Expected price to next headline

Equity LifeStyle Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

August 21, 2018
Current Value
After-hype Price
Target Odds
Equity LifeStyle is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Equity LifeStyle Pro is based on 1 month time horizon.

Equity LifeStyle Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.19% 0.76% 0.17%  0.03% 4 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

Equity LifeStyle Hype Timeline

On 21 of August Equity LifeStyle Properties is traded for 95.10. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.17 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Equity LifeStyle Properties is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 95.27. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 83.52%. The price escalation on the next news is estimated to be 0.18% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Equity LifeStyle is about 567.16% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 95.13. The company reported last year revenue of 935.06 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 193.24 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 476.14 M. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 4 days.
Additionally see Equity LifeStyle Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Equity LifeStyle Related Hype Analysis

At Risk
Credit Suisse Group AG(0.01) 4 per month 0.00 (0.16)  1.39 (1.77)  4.17 
Welltower 0.58 1 per month 1.43  0.13  1.82 (1.46)  5.04 
Nomura Holdings 0.02 4 per month 0.00 (0.20)  1.39 (1.72)  8.91 
American Homes 4 Rent 0.01 4 per month 0.86 (0.0461)  0.94 (1.21)  2.07 
Douglas Emmett(0.28) 4 per month 0.45 (0.0495)  1.24 (1.04)  2.45 
Ares Capital Corporation(0.01) 4 per month 0.00  0.11  0.52 (0.29)  2.36 
Kilroy Realty Corporation(0.44) 4 per month 0.00 (0.08)  1.19 (1.81)  4.59 
VICI Properties(0.18) 6 per month 0.00 (0.12)  1.54 (1.72)  2.80 
Lamar Advertising Company 0.42 4 per month 0.38  0.25  1.84 (1.05)  3.30 
Dolby Laboratories 1.23 4 per month 1.41  0.11  2.04 (2.54)  7.63 

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Additionally see Equity LifeStyle Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.