Electro Sensors Stock Price Prediction

ELSE Stock  USD 4.22  0.03  0.72%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Electro Sensors' share price is approaching 48 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Electro Sensors, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

48

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Electro Sensors stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Electro Sensors shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Electro Sensors' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Electro Sensors and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Electro Sensors' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Electro Sensors, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Electro Sensors' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.26)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.096
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Electro Sensors based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Electro stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Electro Sensors over a specific investment horizon. Using Electro Sensors hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Electro Sensors from the perspective of Electro Sensors response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Electro Sensors. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Electro Sensors to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Electro because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Electro Sensors after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 4.23  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Electro Sensors Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Electro Stock refer to our How to Trade Electro Stock guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Electro Sensors' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.324.176.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Electro Sensors. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Electro Sensors' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Electro Sensors' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Electro Sensors.

Electro Sensors After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Electro Sensors at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Electro Sensors or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Electro Sensors, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Electro Sensors Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Electro Sensors' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Electro Sensors' historical news coverage. Electro Sensors' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.38 and 6.08, respectively. We have considered Electro Sensors' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
4.22
4.23
After-hype Price
6.08
Upside
Electro Sensors is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Electro Sensors is based on 3 months time horizon.

Electro Sensors Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Electro Sensors is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Electro Sensors backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Electro Sensors, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.10 
1.84
  0.01 
  0.02 
4 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.22
4.23
0.24 
3,067  
Notes

Electro Sensors Hype Timeline

Electro Sensors is currently traded for 4.22. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Electro is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 4.23 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.24%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Electro Sensors is about 1132.83%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.20. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 8.55 M. Net Income was 275 K with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.84 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 4 days.
Check out Electro Sensors Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Electro Stock refer to our How to Trade Electro Stock guide.

Electro Sensors Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Electro Sensors' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Electro Sensors' future price movements. Getting to know how Electro Sensors' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Electro Sensors may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Electro Sensors Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Electro price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Electro using various technical indicators. When you analyze Electro charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Electro Sensors Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Electro Sensors stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Electro Sensors, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Electro Sensors based on analysis of Electro Sensors hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Electro Sensors's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Electro Sensors's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0180.0171
Price To Sales Ratio1.521.41

Story Coverage note for Electro Sensors

The number of cover stories for Electro Sensors depends on current market conditions and Electro Sensors' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Electro Sensors is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Electro Sensors' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Electro Sensors Short Properties

Electro Sensors' future price predictability will typically decrease when Electro Sensors' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Electro Sensors often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Electro Sensors' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Electro Sensors' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments9.9 M
When determining whether Electro Sensors is a strong investment it is important to analyze Electro Sensors' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Electro Sensors' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Electro Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Electro Sensors Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Electro Stock refer to our How to Trade Electro Stock guide.
You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.

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When running Electro Sensors' price analysis, check to measure Electro Sensors' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Electro Sensors is operating at the current time. Most of Electro Sensors' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Electro Sensors' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Electro Sensors' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Electro Sensors to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Electro Sensors' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Electro Sensors. If investors know Electro will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Electro Sensors listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.26)
Earnings Share
0.08
Revenue Per Share
2.496
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.096
Return On Assets
0.0006
The market value of Electro Sensors is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Electro that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Electro Sensors' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Electro Sensors' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Electro Sensors' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Electro Sensors' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Electro Sensors' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Electro Sensors is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Electro Sensors' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.