Eros International Price Prediction

Eros International Plc -- USA Stock  

USD 12.70  0.35  2.68%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Eros International headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Eros International Plc brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Eros International hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Eros International Plc from the prospective of Eros International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Eros International over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see Eros International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Eros International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

 Next price density 
Expected price to next headline
March 19, 2018
Current Value
Downside upside
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
Upside upside
Eros International is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Eros International Plc is based on 1 month time horizon.

Eros International Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.22% 1.17% 0.05%  0.04% 1 Events / Month2 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

Eros International Hype Timeline

Eros International Plc is currently traded for12.70. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.05 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Eros International Plc is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 12.65. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 468.0%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.39% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.22%. The volatility of related hype on Eros International is about 721.93% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 12.74. About 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.97. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Eros International Plc has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 483.33. This company had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:3 split on November 13, 2013. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be very soon.
Additionally see Eros International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Eros International Related Hype Analysis

Short fall
At Risk
DHX Media Ltd 0.17 2 per month 0.00 (0.17)  0.00  5.00 (3.95)  9.96 
500 com Limited 0.34 2 per month 1.87  0.29 (5.22)  9.43 (4.22)  16.38 
Eros International Plc(0.25) 1 per month 1.27  0.0692 (1.31)  1.52 (1.86)  6.58 
AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc(0.05) 1 per month 0.00 (0.0207)  0.00  4.04 (4.76)  12.53 
Cinemark Holdings Inc 0.80 2 per month 0.00  0.0045  0.00  2.39 (2.40)  10.34 
Dover Downs Gaming Entertainment Inc(0.04) 1 per month 1.82  0.11 (2.10)  3.17 (2.27)  9.19