Eros International Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

EROS -- USA Stock  

USD 13.60  0.20  1.49%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Eros International headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Eros International Plc brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Eros International hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Eros International Plc from the prospective of Eros International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Eros International over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see Eros International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Eros International After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Eros International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

July 22, 2018
13.60
Current Value
13.59
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
21.75
Upside
Eros International is not very volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Eros International Plc is based on 1 month time horizon.

Eros International Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.12% 2.72% 0.01%  0.05% 5 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
13.6013.590.07%
2,720% 

Eros International Hype Timeline

Eros International Plc is currently traded for13.60. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Eros International Plc is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 13.59. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 2720.0%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.07% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Eros International is about 653.85% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 13.65. About 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.0. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Eros International Plc has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.02. This company recorded loss per share of 0.2. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Eros International had 1:3 split on November 13, 2013. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 5 days.
Additionally see Eros International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Eros International Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Eros International Plc(0.1) 5 per month 0.00 (0.13)  3.85 (3.47)  12.27 
Discovery Communications(0.56) 3 per month 0.00 (0.27)  1.03 (3.44)  5.09 
AMC Entertainment Holdings 0.05 3 per month 0.00 (0.10)  3.61 (3.49)  8.96 
CBS Corporation 0.17 5 per month 0.00 (0.15)  2.20 (1.38)  3.64 
Cinemark Holdings(0.10) 4 per month 0.00 (0.23)  2.02 (1.96)  4.81 
The Walt Disney Company 2.72 4 per month 0.65  0.08  1.62 (1.22)  2.20 
Dolby Laboratories 0.28 5 per month 0.00 (0.08)  1.44 (2.25)  3.69 
Global Eagle Entertainment(0.12) 5 per month 0.00 (0.06)  6.75 (4.15)  12.00 
Twenty First Century Fox 0.52 4 per month 0.00 (0.21)  1.86 (1.65)  6.06 
Live Nation Entertainment 1.30 4 per month 0.75  0.19  3.61 (1.93)  5.58 

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Additionally see Eros International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Pattern Recognition module to use different pattern recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
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