Eros International Price Prediction

Eros International Plc -- USA Stock  

USD 13.35  1.2  8.25%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Eros International headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Eros International Plc brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Eros International hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Eros International Plc from the prospective of Eros International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Eros International over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see Eros International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Eros International estimiated after-hype price volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline
October 17, 2017
13.35
Current Value
Downside upside
14.11
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
27.43
Upside
Upside upside
Eros International is relatively volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Eros International Plc is based on 1 month time horizon.

Eros International Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.32% 4.68% 0.03%  0.00% 1 Events / Month1 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
13.3514.110.07%
4,680% 

Eros International Hype Timeline

Eros International Plc is currently traded for 13.35 . This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.03 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Eros International Plc is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 14.11. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 4680.0%. The price appreciation on the next news is estimated to be 0.07% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.32%. The volatility of related hype on Eros International is about 34666.67% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 13.35. The company reported previous year revenue of 252.99 M. Net Income was 3.81 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 88.75 M. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be very soon.
Additionally see Eros International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Eros International Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Short fall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
DHX Media Ltd(0.25) 1 per month 0.00 (0.33)  0.00  3.9 (9.17)  18.52 
500 com Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13)  0.00  2.49 (2.78)  6.07 
Eros International Plc 0.1 1 per month 3.56  0.0817 (5.32)  9.9 (5.9)  16.8 
AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc 0.05 1 per month 0.00 (0.31)  0.00  2.93 (6.01)  16.06 
Cinemark Holdings Inc 0.13 1 per month 1.46 (0.0403) (1.2)  2.04 (3.24)  6.33 
Dover Downs Gaming Entertainment Inc 0.05 1 per month 0.00 (0.0527)  0.00  5.05 (5.19)  10.24