Entravision Communications Stock Price Prediction

EVC Stock  USD 1.64  0.01  0.61%   
At the present time the relative strength momentum indicator of Entravision Communications' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Oversold Vs Overbought

15

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Entravision Communications stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Entravision Communications shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Entravision Communications' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Entravision Communications and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Entravision Communications' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Entravision Communications, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Entravision Communications' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.73)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.01
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.05
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.19)
Wall Street Target Price
2.63
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Entravision Communications based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Entravision stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Entravision Communications over a specific investment horizon. Using Entravision Communications hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Entravision Communications from the perspective of Entravision Communications response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Entravision Communications using Entravision Communications' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Entravision using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Entravision Communications' stock price.

Entravision Communications Implied Volatility

    
  0.0  
Entravision Communications' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Entravision Communications stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Entravision Communications' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Entravision Communications stock will not fluctuate a lot when Entravision Communications' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Entravision Communications. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Entravision Communications to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Entravision because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Entravision Communications after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.72  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Entravision Communications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Entravision Stock refer to our How to Trade Entravision Stock guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Entravision Communications' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.214.1411.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.052.459.71
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.7711.8313.13
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.09-0.09-0.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Entravision Communications. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Entravision Communications' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Entravision Communications' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Entravision Communications.

Entravision Communications After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Entravision Communications at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Entravision Communications or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Entravision Communications, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Entravision Communications Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Entravision Communications' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Entravision Communications' historical news coverage. Entravision Communications' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.09 and 8.98, respectively. We have considered Entravision Communications' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.64
1.72
After-hype Price
8.98
Upside
Entravision Communications is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Entravision Communications is based on 3 months time horizon.

Entravision Communications Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Entravision Communications is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Entravision Communications backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Entravision Communications, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.11 
7.26
  0.09 
  0.41 
10 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.64
1.72
5.52 
9,075  
Notes

Entravision Communications Hype Timeline

On the 28th of March Entravision Communications is traded for 1.64. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.41. Entravision is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.72 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 5.52%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -1.11%. The volatility of related hype on Entravision Communications is about 1986.02%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.23. Entravision Communications has about 110.69 M in cash with 73.42 M of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.17, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Entravision Communications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Entravision Stock refer to our How to Trade Entravision Stock guide.

Entravision Communications Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Entravision Communications' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Entravision Communications' future price movements. Getting to know how Entravision Communications rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Entravision Communications may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MCHXMarchex(0.01)7 per month 0.00 (0.04) 5.26 (5.19) 20.43 
MDIAMediaco Holding(0.06)2 per month 5.76  0.07  10.64 (10.64) 53.08 
IQIQIYI Inc 0.17 10 per month 0.00 (0.1) 5.65 (5.22) 18.61 
SESea(0.62)10 per month 2.02  0.17  5.21 (3.56) 10.54 
SJScienjoy Holding Corp(0.22)5 per month 0.00 (0.12) 8.07 (14.77) 67.29 
TVGrupo Televisa SAB 0.07 7 per month 0.00 (0.07) 4.56 (4.11) 21.27 
DLPNDolphin Entertainment 0.18 10 per month 0.00 (0.06) 6.50 (4.76) 22.22 
MGOLMGO Global Common(0.04)4 per month 6.44  0.03  11.63 (9.76) 57.50 
DRCTDirect Digital Holdings(2.76)8 per month 10.23  0.06  17.66 (13.43) 42.91 

Entravision Communications Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Entravision price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Entravision using various technical indicators. When you analyze Entravision charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Entravision Communications Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Entravision Communications stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Entravision Communications, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Entravision Communications based on analysis of Entravision Communications hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Entravision Communications's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Entravision Communications's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01480.02080.0480.0272
Price To Sales Ratio0.760.430.330.31

Story Coverage note for Entravision Communications

The number of cover stories for Entravision Communications depends on current market conditions and Entravision Communications' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Entravision Communications is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Entravision Communications' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Entravision Communications Short Properties

Entravision Communications' future price predictability will typically decrease when Entravision Communications' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Entravision Communications often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Entravision Communications' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Entravision Communications' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding87.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments119.7 M
When determining whether Entravision Communications offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Entravision Communications' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Entravision Communications Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Entravision Communications Stock:
Check out Entravision Communications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Entravision Stock refer to our How to Trade Entravision Stock guide.
You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

Complementary Tools for Entravision Stock analysis

When running Entravision Communications' price analysis, check to measure Entravision Communications' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Entravision Communications is operating at the current time. Most of Entravision Communications' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Entravision Communications' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Entravision Communications' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Entravision Communications to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Entravision Communications' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Entravision Communications. If investors know Entravision will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Entravision Communications listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.73)
Dividend Share
0.2
Earnings Share
(0.18)
Revenue Per Share
12.592
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.08
The market value of Entravision Communications is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Entravision that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Entravision Communications' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Entravision Communications' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Entravision Communications' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Entravision Communications' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Entravision Communications' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Entravision Communications is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Entravision Communications' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.