Exlservice Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| EXLS Stock | USD 29.12 0.29 0.99% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
44
Oversold | Overbought |
ExlService Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of ExlService Holdings shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of ExlService Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of ExlService Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from ExlService Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ExlService Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting ExlService Holdings' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.261 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.38 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.61 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.84 | Wall Street Target Price 35.94 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of ExlService Holdings based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The ExlService stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on ExlService Holdings over a specific investment horizon. Using ExlService Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ExlService Holdings from the perspective of ExlService Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards ExlService Holdings using ExlService Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards ExlService using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of ExlService Holdings' stock price.
ExlService Holdings Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in ExlService Holdings' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards ExlService. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of ExlService Holdings stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long ExlService Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about ExlService Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge ExlService Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 29.5854 | Short Percent 0.0617 | Short Ratio 7.03 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.2 M | 50 Day MA 30.76 |
ExlService Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to ExlService Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in ExlService. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding ExlService can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around ExlService Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of ExlService Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about ExlService Holdings.
ExlService Holdings Implied Volatility | 702.54 |
ExlService Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of ExlService Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if ExlService Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that ExlService Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when ExlService Holdings' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in ExlService Holdings. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ExlService Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ExlService because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
ExlService Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 29.22 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
ExlService |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ExlService Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ExlService Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ExlService Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ExlService Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ExlService Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ExlService Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ExlService Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ExlService Holdings' historical news coverage. ExlService Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.31 and 31.13, respectively. We have considered ExlService Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ExlService Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ExlService Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
ExlService Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ExlService Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ExlService Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ExlService Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 1.91 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 11 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
29.12 | 29.22 | 0.34 |
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ExlService Holdings Hype Timeline
ExlService Holdings is currently traded for 29.12. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.14. ExlService is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 29.22 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.34%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.18%. The volatility of related hype on ExlService Holdings is about 248.05%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.98. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.63 B. Net Income was 184.56 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 515.45 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out ExlService Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.ExlService Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ExlService Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ExlService Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how ExlService Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ExlService Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ASGN | ASGN Inc | (0.53) | 10 per month | 1.74 | 0.02 | 2.56 | (3.06) | 8.24 | |
| CACI | CACI International | (4.08) | 10 per month | 0.79 | 0.09 | 1.54 | (1.47) | 4.36 | |
| PRFT | Perficient | (1.63) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 3.35 | (4.53) | 10.36 | |
| SAIC | Science Applications International | 0.65 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.06 | (1.96) | 12.21 | |
| CLVT | CLARIVATE PLC | 0.04 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.24 | (3.81) | 22.04 | |
| TWKS | Thoughtworks Holding | (0.11) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 5.42 | (6.12) | 35.48 | |
| CDW | CDW Corp | 0.27 | 10 per month | 0.89 | 0.04 | 2.58 | (1.52) | 5.82 |
ExlService Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ExlService price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ExlService using various technical indicators. When you analyze ExlService charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About ExlService Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of ExlService Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ExlService Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ExlService Holdings based on analysis of ExlService Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ExlService Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ExlService Holdings's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.007566 | 0.006506 | 0.007481 | 0.007107 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.33 | 4.0 | 3.15 | 1.58 |
Story Coverage note for ExlService Holdings
The number of cover stories for ExlService Holdings depends on current market conditions and ExlService Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ExlService Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ExlService Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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ExlService Holdings Short Properties
ExlService Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when ExlService Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ExlService Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ExlService Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ExlService Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 168.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 294.9 M |
Check out ExlService Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy ExlService Stock please use our How to Invest in ExlService Holdings guide.You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Complementary Tools for ExlService Stock analysis
When running ExlService Holdings' price analysis, check to measure ExlService Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ExlService Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of ExlService Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ExlService Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ExlService Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ExlService Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is ExlService Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ExlService Holdings. If investors know ExlService will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ExlService Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.261 | Earnings Share 1.1 | Revenue Per Share 9.803 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.105 | Return On Assets 0.1069 |
The market value of ExlService Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ExlService that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ExlService Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ExlService Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ExlService Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ExlService Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ExlService Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ExlService Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ExlService Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.