Express Volatility

EXPRDelisted Stock  USD 1.60  0.06  3.61%   
Express secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.29, which denotes the company had a -0.29% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Express exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Express' Variance of 81.02, mean deviation of 5.25, and Standard Deviation of 9.0 to check the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Express' volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
Express Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Express daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Express's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Express volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Express can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Express at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Express stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Express' stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving together with Express Stock

  0.67FL Foot Locker Financial Report 17th of May 2024 PairCorr
  0.64JL J Long GroupPairCorr
  0.89DXLG Destination XL Group Financial Report 23rd of May 2024 PairCorr
  0.84VSCO Victorias Secret Financial Report 29th of May 2024 PairCorr
  0.7TFRFF TefronPairCorr

Moving against Express Stock

  0.87GES Guess Inc Financial Report 22nd of May 2024 PairCorr
  0.83GPS Gap Inc Financial Report 23rd of May 2024 PairCorr
  0.75JILL JJill Inc Financial Report 5th of June 2024 PairCorr
  0.72AEO American Eagle Outfitters Financial Report 22nd of May 2024 PairCorr
  0.59LE Lands End Financial Report 6th of June 2024 PairCorr
  0.56CAL Continental Financial Report 6th of June 2024 PairCorr
  0.45ANF Abercrombie Fitch Financial Report 22nd of May 2024 PairCorr

Express Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Express' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Express stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Express stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Express's beta of 2.97 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Express stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Express is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Express' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Express' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Express Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Express correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

Express Beta

    
  2.97  
Express standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  11.68  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Express's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Express' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in express stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Express.

Express Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Express delisted stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Express' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Express' stock to predict their future moves. A delisted stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile delisted stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Express' volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of delisted stock volatility measures Express' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Express' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Express' current market price. This means that the delisted stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Express' to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
We are not able to run technical analysis function on this symbol. We either do not have that equity or its historical data is not available at this time. Please try again later.

Express Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.9728 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Express will likely underperform.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Express or Specialty Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Express' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Express delisted stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Express has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Express' volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how express stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives an Express Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a delisted stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Express Stock Risk Measures

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Express is -350.45. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 136.35 and standard deviation of 11.68. The mean deviation of Express is currently at 7.58. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.63
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-2.18
β
Beta against NYSE Composite2.97
σ
Overall volatility
11.68
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

Express Stock Return Volatility

Express historical daily return volatility represents how much of Express delisted stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The enterprise inherits 11.677% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6217% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Express Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Express or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Express may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Express's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Express and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Express fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Express, Inc. provides apparel and accessories for women and men for various occasions under the Express brand. Express, Inc. was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Columbus, Ohio. Express operates under Apparel Retail classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 3000 people.
Express' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Express Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Express' price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Express' volatility to invest better

Higher Express' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Express stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Express stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Express investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Express' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Express' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Express Investment Opportunity

Express has a volatility of 11.68 and is 18.84 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Express is higher than 96 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Express to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences an unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. Check odds of Express to be traded at $1.536 in 90 days.

Modest diversification

The correlation between Express and NYA is 0.21 (i.e., Modest diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Express and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Express Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Express' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Express' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Express stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar delisted stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Express Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Express as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Express' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Express' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Express.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.

Other Consideration for investing in Express Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Express check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Express' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Idea Optimizer
Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio
Idea Breakdown
Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes