Ford Motor Price Prediction

Ford Motor Company -- USA Stock  

USD 12.02  0.02  0.17%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Ford Motor headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ford Motor Company brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Ford Motor hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Ford Motor Company from the prospective of Ford Motor response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Ford Motor over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see Ford Motor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Ford Motor Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline
January 23, 2018
12.02
Current Value
Downside upside
12.04
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
17.62
Upside
Upside upside
Ford Motor is not very risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ford Motor is based on 1 month time horizon.

Ford Motor Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.23% 1.86% 0.02%  0.08% 2 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
12.0212.040.17%
1,860% 

Ford Motor Hype Timeline

As of January 23, 2018 Ford Motor Company is listed for 12.02. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Ford Motor Company is expected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 12.04. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 1860.0%. The price increase on the next news is estimated to be 0.17% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.23%. The volatility of related hype on Ford Motor is about 511.93% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 12.1. The company reported annual revenue of 154.1 B. Net Income to common stockholders was 4.41 B with gross profit before all taxes, overhead, and interest of 16.31 B. Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the next expected press release will be in a few days.
Additionally see Ford Motor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Ford Motor Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Short fall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Ford Motor Company 0.1 2 per month 0.00 (0.27)  0.00  1.69 (0.98)  8.75 
General Motors Company 0.13 1 per month 0.92 (0.0993) (1.29)  2.77 (1.62)  5.47 
Navistar International Corporation 1.26 1 per month 0.00 (0.12)  0.00  4.42 (2.82)  7.6 
Polaris Industries Inc 0.57 1 per month 1.42  0.0854 (1.51)  2.4 (2.05)  5.52 
Thor Industries Inc 0.00 0 per month 1.01 (0.0966) (1.52)  2.83 (1.79)  5.65 
PACCAR Inc 0.12 1 per month 0.00  0.2 (1.05)  1.97 (0.56)  3.69