Ford Motor Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

F -- USA Stock  

USD 10.05  0.01  0.1%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ford Motor Company which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Ford Motor hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Ford Motor Company from the prospective of Ford Motor response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Ford Motor over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see Ford Motor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Ford Motor After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Ford Motor Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

June 20, 2019
10.05
Current Value
10.05
After-hype Price
16.29
Upside
Ford Motor is slightly risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ford Motor is based on 2 months time horizon.

Ford Motor Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.19% 2.08% 0.00%  0.01% 8 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.0510.050.00%
10,400% 

Ford Motor Hype Timeline

As of June 20, 2019 Ford Motor is listed for 10.05. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Ford Motor Company is expected not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 10400.0%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small where as daily expected return is currently at 0.19%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Ford Motor is about 2701.3%%. The volatility of related hype on Ford Motor is about 2701.3% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 10.06. About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.08. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ford Motor last dividend was issued on 2019-04-23. The entity had 1748175:1000000 split on 2000-08-03. Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the next expected press release will be in about 8 days.
Additionally see Ford Motor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Ford Motor Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Ford Motor Company 0.02 8 per month 1.17  0.08  2.13 (2.26)  13.63 
General Motors Company 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Fiat Chrysler Automobiles N V(0.19) 10 per month 0.00 (0.16)  3.98 (4.84)  14.72 
Honda Motor Co Ltd 0.41 8 per month 0.00 (0.17)  1.25 (2.70)  5.02 
Nuveen Municipal Opportunity Fund 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.05  0.00  0.00  4.51 
Niu Technologies ADR(0.63) 1 per month 0.00 (0.07)  8.40 (5.57)  34.96 
Kandi Technologies Group 0.15 8 per month 0.00 (0.0053)  8.18 (5.52)  16.40 
Daimler AG 0.68 4 per month 0.00 (0.07)  2.30 (3.03)  13.36 
Blue Bird Corporation 0.33 9 per month 2.07  0.0324  3.34 (2.94)  12.06 
Intel Corporation 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Additionally see Ford Motor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
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