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Ford Stock Price Prediction

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F -- USA Stock  

Trending

Ford Long Term Debt to Equity is expected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The last year's Long Term Debt to Equity was at 3.05. The current year Calculated Tax Rate is expected to grow to 14.95, whereas Cash and Equivalents Turnover is expected to decline to 8.76. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ford Motor Company, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Please check Ford Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
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The Ford stock price prediction module also provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Ford over a specific investment horizon. Using Ford hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ford Motor Company from the perspective of Ford response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Ford After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
    
  Expected price to next headline 

Ford Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
4.36
5th of April 2020
4.09
After-hype Price
18.43
Upside
Ford is dangerous asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ford Motor is based on 3 months time horizon.

Ford Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 1.07  4.78  0.27   0.15  10 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.364.096.19 
1,912  

Ford Hype Timeline

As of April 5, 2020 Ford Motor is listed for 4.36. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.27 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.15. Ford Motor Company is expected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 4.09. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 1912.0%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -6.19% where as daily expected return is currently at -1.07%. The volatility of related hype on Ford is about 3390.07% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 4.21. About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.01. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ford Motor last dividend was issued on 2020-01-29. The entity had 1748175:1000000 split on 2000-08-03. Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the next expected press release will be in about 10 days.
Please check Ford Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Ford Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Honda Motor Company Ltd(0.02) 6 per month 0.00 (0.0282)  4.16 (6.14)  15.61 
Blue Bird Corporation 0.74 8 per month 0.00 (0.15)  5.52 (10.70)  35.63 
DAIMLER AG 1.02 10 per month 0.00 (0.06)  9.43 (14.33)  40.67 
Niu Technologies(0.06) 7 per month 0.00  0.0244  8.72 (11.13)  33.28 
Ford Motor Company(0.25) 10 per month 0.00 (0.15)  5.23 (9.32)  32.34 
Fiat Chrysler Automobiles N V(0.1) 11 per month 0.00 (0.14)  4.52 (9.20)  33.20 
General Motors Company(1.31) 7 per month 0.00 (0.11)  5.42 (11.38)  27.26 
NIO(0.52) 9 per month 0.00 (0.0032)  11.11 (12.03)  35.77 
Kandi Technologies Group(0.07) 4 per month 0.00 (0.1)  7.22 (9.62)  24.33 
Walmart(0.84) 8 per month 2.63  0.15  5.12 (4.59)  19.48 
Please check Ford Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
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