Ford Motor Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

F -- USA Stock  

USD 8.47  0.35  3.97%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ford Motor Company which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Ford Motor hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Ford Motor Company from the prospective of Ford Motor response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Ford Motor over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see Ford Motor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Ford Motor After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Ford Motor Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

December 10, 2018
8.47
Current Value
8.81
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
16.19
Upside
Ford Motor is not very volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ford Motor is based on 2 months time horizon.

Ford Motor Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.08% 2.53% 0.02%  0.02% 7 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
8.478.810.11%
1,332% 

Ford Motor Hype Timeline

As of December 10, 2018 Ford Motor Company is listed for 8.47. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Ford Motor Company is expected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 8.81. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 1331.58%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.11% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Ford Motor is about 1072.03% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 8.45. About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.98. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ford Motor Company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.46. This company last dividend was issued on 2018-10-22. The firm had 1748175:1000000 split on 2000-08-03. Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the next expected press release will be in about 7 days.
Additionally see Ford Motor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Ford Motor Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Daimler AG(0.48) 4 per month 0.00 (0.12)  3.60 (3.03)  7.95 
Honda Motor Co Ltd 0.14 7 per month 0.00  0.016  2.45 (2.71)  7.78 
Blue Bird Corporation(0.42) 7 per month 0.00 (0.20)  2.98 (4.49)  11.98 
The Coca Cola Company 0.51 9 per month 0.88  0.31  1.58 (1.47)  4.76 
General Motors Company(0.42) 8 per month 2.39  0.09  4.71 (4.67)  14.11 
Kandi Technologies Group(0.09) 7 per month 0.00 (0.08)  7.21 (6.19)  28.18 
Niu Technologies ADR(0.09) 1 per month 0.00 (0.10)  10.59 (7.35)  33.14 
The Walt Disney Company(1.65) 8 per month 0.00  0.1  2.28 (2.48)  8.46 
Ford Motor Company(0.19) 7 per month 0.00  0.05  2.96 (3.35)  14.28 
Fiat Chrysler Automobiles N V 0.33 6 per month 0.00 (0.0206)  4.04 (4.63)  11.97 

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