Ford Motor Price Prediction

Ford Motor Company -- USA Stock  

USD 12.23  0.13  1.07%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Ford Motor headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ford Motor Company brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Ford Motor hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Ford Motor Company from the prospective of Ford Motor response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Ford Motor over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see Ford Motor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Ford Motor estimiated after-hype price volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline
October 22, 2017
12.23
Current Value
Downside upside
12.23
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
14.81
Upside
Upside upside
Ford Motor is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ford Motor is based on 1 month time horizon.

Ford Motor Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.11% 0.86% 0.00%  0.05% 1 Events / Month1 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
12.2312.230.00%
4,300% 

Ford Motor Hype Timeline

As of October 22, 2017 Ford Motor Company is going for 12.23 . This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.05. Ford Motor Company is expected not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 4300.0%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small where as daily expected return is currently at 0.11%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Ford Motor is about 200.78%%. The volatility of related hype on Ford Motor is about 200.78% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 12.28. About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.51. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ford Motor Company last dividend was issued on Octoberober 20, 2017. This company had 1748175:1000000 split on 2000-08-03. Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the next expected press release will be very soon.
Additionally see Ford Motor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Ford Motor Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Short fall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Ford Motor Company(0.02) 1 per month 0.7 (0.0519) (0.66)  1.24 (1.06)  4.17 
General Motors Company 0.11 1 per month 0.00  0.37 (1.41)  3.08 (1.28)  6 
Navistar International Corporation 1.43 1 per month 0.91  0.0527 (1.32)  3.67 (2.03)  6.16 
Polaris Industries Inc 0.34 1 per month 0.00 (0.32)  0.00  1.4 (1.26)  2.67 
Thor Industries Inc 0.87 1 per month 0.00  0.39 (1.18)  2.35 (0.65)  4.27 
PACCAR Inc(0.16) 2 per month 0.33  0.0888 (0.75)  1.56 (0.76)  3.09