Fat Brands Stock Price Prediction
| FAT Stock | USD 7.24 0.01 0.14% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
42
Oversold | Overbought |
FAT Brands stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of FAT Brands shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of FAT Brands' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of FAT Brands and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from FAT Brands' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with FAT Brands, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting FAT Brands' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 112.056 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.90) | EPS Estimate Current Year (4.32) | EPS Estimate Next Year (3.94) | Wall Street Target Price 20 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of FAT Brands based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The FAT stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on FAT Brands over a specific investment horizon. Using FAT Brands hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FAT Brands from the perspective of FAT Brands response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in FAT Brands. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in FAT Brands to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying FAT because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
FAT Brands after-hype prediction price | USD 7.24 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
FAT |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FAT Brands' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
FAT Brands After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of FAT Brands at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FAT Brands or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of FAT Brands, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
FAT Brands Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting FAT Brands' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FAT Brands' historical news coverage. FAT Brands' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.85 and 10.63, respectively. We have considered FAT Brands' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
FAT Brands is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FAT Brands is based on 3 months time horizon.
FAT Brands Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FAT Brands is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FAT Brands backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FAT Brands, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 3.39 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.24 | 7.24 | 0.00 |
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FAT Brands Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of April FAT Brands is traded for 7.24. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.05. FAT is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on FAT Brands is about 662.34%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.29. About 71.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 5.85. FAT Brands last dividend was issued on the 14th of February 2024. The entity had 1.1:1 split on the 24th of August 2021. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out FAT Brands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.FAT Brands Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to FAT Brands' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FAT Brands' future price movements. Getting to know how FAT Brands' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FAT Brands may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FATBP | FAT Brands | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.17 | (0.01) | 1.64 | (1.83) | 4.98 | |
| FRGI | Fiesta Restaurant Group | (0.02) | 5 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.60 | (0.35) | 7.09 | |
| CNNE | Cannae Holdings | 0.02 | 9 per month | 1.95 | (0.04) | 2.55 | (1.73) | 18.76 | |
| NATH | Nathans Famous | 0.67 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.80 | (2.25) | 7.41 | |
| DIN | Dine Brands Global | 0.66 | 11 per month | 2.03 | (0.04) | 2.95 | (3.53) | 8.57 | |
| BLMN | Bloomin Brands | 0.21 | 8 per month | 1.78 | 0.04 | 2.97 | (3.51) | 8.47 | |
| BJRI | BJs Restaurants | 1.82 | 11 per month | 2.29 | 0.01 | 4.22 | (3.89) | 12.17 | |
| RUTH | Ruths Hospitality Group | (0.03) | 9 per month | 0.94 | 0.08 | 1.75 | (2.63) | 34.37 | |
| CAKE | The Cheesecake Factory | 0.46 | 8 per month | 1.63 | 0.02 | 3.99 | (2.81) | 11.03 | |
| EAT | Brinker International | 1.68 | 11 per month | 1.82 | 0.08 | 3.41 | (3.02) | 13.65 | |
| PZZA | Papa Johns International | 0.16 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.62 | (3.22) | 7.95 |
FAT Brands Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FAT price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FAT using various technical indicators. When you analyze FAT charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About FAT Brands Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of FAT Brands stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as FAT Brands, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of FAT Brands based on analysis of FAT Brands hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to FAT Brands's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to FAT Brands's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.16 | 0.15 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.21 | 0.24 |
Story Coverage note for FAT Brands
The number of cover stories for FAT Brands depends on current market conditions and FAT Brands' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that FAT Brands is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about FAT Brands' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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FAT Brands Short Properties
FAT Brands' future price predictability will typically decrease when FAT Brands' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of FAT Brands often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential FAT Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FAT Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 37 M |
Check out FAT Brands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy FAT Stock please use our How to Invest in FAT Brands guide.Note that the FAT Brands information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other FAT Brands' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Complementary Tools for FAT Stock analysis
When running FAT Brands' price analysis, check to measure FAT Brands' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FAT Brands is operating at the current time. Most of FAT Brands' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FAT Brands' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FAT Brands' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FAT Brands to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is FAT Brands' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FAT Brands. If investors know FAT will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FAT Brands listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 112.056 | Dividend Share 0.56 | Earnings Share (5.85) | Revenue Per Share 28.945 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.528 |
The market value of FAT Brands is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FAT that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FAT Brands' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FAT Brands' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FAT Brands' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FAT Brands' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FAT Brands' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FAT Brands is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FAT Brands' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.