Facebook Price Prediction

Facebook Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 176.03  1.05  0.6%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Facebook headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Facebook Inc brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Facebook hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Facebook Inc from the prospective of Facebook response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Facebook over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see Facebook Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Facebook estimiated after-hype price volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline
October 21, 2017
176.03
Current Value
Downside upside
175.97
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
179.84
Upside
Upside upside
Facebook is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Facebook Inc is based on 1 month time horizon.

Facebook Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.11% 1.29% 0.06%  0.07% 1 Events / Month1 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
176.03175.970.03%
248.08% 

Facebook Hype Timeline

As of October 21, 2017 Facebook Inc is going for 176.03 . This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.06 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. Facebook Inc is suggested to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 175.97. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 248.08%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.03% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Facebook is about 210.33% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 175.96. About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.42. Facebook Inc had not issued any dividends in recent years. Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, the next suggested press release will be very soon.
Additionally see Facebook Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Facebook Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Short fall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Facebook Inc(0.52) 1 per month 1.65 (0.0314) (0.8)  1.67 (0.91)  4.5 
NQ Mobile Inc(0.02) 1 per month 0.00 (0.23)  0.00  1.18 (1.16)  3.16 
21Vianet Group Inc 0.09 1 per month 5.16  0.17 (4.02)  14.8 (3.75)  37.99 
VeriSign Inc 0.58 2 per month 0.77 (0.0173) (0.55)  0.92 (1.18)  2.91 
Equinix Inc(3.95) 1 per month 0.17  0.0849 (0.9)  1.73 (1.01)  2.23 
Harris Corporation 0.14 1 per month 0.00  0.0881 (0.5)  0.83 (0.8)  1.78