Facebook Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

FB -- USA Stock  

USD 208.09  1.85  0.88%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Facebook headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Facebook brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Facebook hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Facebook from the prospective of Facebook response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Facebook over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see Facebook Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Facebook After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Facebook Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

July 22, 2018
208.09
Current Value
Downside
203.64
208.05
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
212.46
Upside
Facebook is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Facebook is based on 1 month time horizon.

Facebook Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.20% 1.47% 0.04%  0.07% 6 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
208.09208.050.02%
773.68% 

Facebook Hype Timeline

As of July 22, 2018 Facebook is listed for 208.09. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.04 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Facebook is suggested to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 208.05. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 773.68%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.02% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Facebook is about 404.65% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 208.16. About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.13. Facebook recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.04. This company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, the next suggested press release will be in about 6 days.
Additionally see Facebook Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Facebook Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Facebook(0.19) 6 per month 1.11  0.05  2.41 (2.35)  3.91 
iQIYI 1.80 4 per month 0.00 (0.18)  9.58 (12.05)  22.93 
JD 0.09 3 per month 0.00 (0.51)  1.50 (3.71)  4.44 
Jianpu Technology Inc American depositary shares each two representing five Class A 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.35)  2.33 (5.56)  11.88 
Dolphin Entertainment(0.13) 3 per month 0.00 (0.21)  4.63 (3.85)  9.48 
Data Storage Corporation(0.0172) 3 per month 8.17  0.16  23.18 (12.00)  45.13 
Phoenix New Media Limited(0.07) 3 per month 0.00 (0.21)  4.38 (4.42)  11.91 
IACInterActiveCorp 1.69 5 per month 0.00 (0.32)  1.10 (2.72)  3.57 
Spark Networks SE 0.48 5 per month 2.71  0.0333  4.27 (3.44)  6.20 
GoDaddy(0.02) 4 per month 1.69  0.09  2.29 (2.76)  3.71 

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Additionally see Facebook Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Fund Screener module to find activelly-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
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