Fiserv Inc Stock Price Prediction
| FI Stock | USD 155.39 6.59 4.43% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
53
Oversold | Overbought |
Fiserv Inc stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Fiserv shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Fiserv's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Fiserv and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Fiserv's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Fiserv Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Fiserv's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.179 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.82 | EPS Estimate Current Year 8.63 | EPS Estimate Next Year 10.01 | Wall Street Target Price 162.33 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Fiserv based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Fiserv stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Fiserv over a specific investment horizon. Using Fiserv hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fiserv Inc from the perspective of Fiserv response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Fiserv using Fiserv's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Fiserv using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Fiserv's stock price.
Fiserv Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Fiserv's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Fiserv. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Fiserv stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Fiserv may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Fiserv and may potentially protect profits, hedge Fiserv with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 132.2096 | Short Percent 0.0132 | Short Ratio 2.79 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.4 M | 50 Day MA 151.5124 |
Fiserv Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Fiserv's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Fiserv. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Fiserv can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Fiserv Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Fiserv's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Fiserv.
Fiserv Implied Volatility | 69.36 |
Fiserv's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Fiserv Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Fiserv's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Fiserv stock will not fluctuate a lot when Fiserv's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Fiserv. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Fiserv to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Fiserv because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Fiserv after-hype prediction price | USD 155.01 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Fiserv contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Fiserv Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 4.33% per day over the life of the 2024-04-26 option contract. With Fiserv trading at USD 155.39, that is roughly USD 6.74 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Fiserv's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Fiserv Inc options at the current volatility level of 69.36%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Fiserv |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fiserv's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fiserv After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Fiserv at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fiserv or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fiserv, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Fiserv Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Fiserv's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fiserv's historical news coverage. Fiserv's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 153.90 and 156.12, respectively. We have considered Fiserv's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Fiserv is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fiserv Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Fiserv Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fiserv is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fiserv backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fiserv, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 1.11 | 0.38 | 0.07 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
155.39 | 155.01 | 0.24 |
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Fiserv Hype Timeline
As of April 24, 2024 Fiserv Inc is listed for 155.39. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.38, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. Fiserv is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 155.01. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 50.23%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.24%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Fiserv is about 254.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 155.32. About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Fiserv was currently reported as 50.26. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.02. Fiserv Inc last dividend was issued on the 29th of August 2017. The entity had 2:1 split on the 20th of March 2018. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Fiserv Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Fiserv Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Fiserv's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fiserv's future price movements. Getting to know how Fiserv's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fiserv may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CLVT | CLARIVATE PLC | 0.04 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.24 | (3.81) | 22.04 | |
| WNS | WNS Holdings | (0.95) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.88 | (4.81) | 23.08 | |
| TWKS | Thoughtworks Holding | 0.03 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 5.42 | (6.12) | 35.48 | |
| GDS | GDS Holdings | 0.22 | 8 per month | 5.83 | 0.04 | 8.86 | (7.50) | 48.52 | |
| CACI | CACI International | (4.47) | 9 per month | 0.77 | 0.11 | 1.81 | (1.47) | 4.36 | |
| EXLS | ExlService Holdings | 0.57 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.78 | (3.48) | 8.37 | |
| TASK | Taskus Inc | 0.26 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 5.54 | (4.66) | 13.52 | |
| G | Genpact Limited | (0.82) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.27 | (2.42) | 7.27 | |
| TTEC | TTEC Holdings | (0.28) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 5.61 | (8.92) | 27.45 | |
| ASGN | ASGN Inc | 1.03 | 11 per month | 1.73 | 0.03 | 2.56 | (3.06) | 8.24 |
Fiserv Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fiserv price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fiserv using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fiserv charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Fiserv Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Fiserv stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Fiserv Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fiserv based on analysis of Fiserv hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Fiserv's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Fiserv's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0533 | 0.026 | 0.0463 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.66 | 4.26 | 2.19 |
Story Coverage note for Fiserv
The number of cover stories for Fiserv depends on current market conditions and Fiserv's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fiserv is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fiserv's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Fiserv Short Properties
Fiserv's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fiserv's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fiserv Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fiserv's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fiserv's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 615.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 B |
Check out Fiserv Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Complementary Tools for Fiserv Stock analysis
When running Fiserv's price analysis, check to measure Fiserv's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fiserv is operating at the current time. Most of Fiserv's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fiserv's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fiserv's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fiserv to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Fiserv's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fiserv. If investors know Fiserv will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fiserv listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.179 | Earnings Share 4.98 | Revenue Per Share 31.213 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.062 | Return On Assets 0.0347 |
The market value of Fiserv Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fiserv that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fiserv's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fiserv's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fiserv's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fiserv's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fiserv's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fiserv is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fiserv's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.