First Trust Price Prediction

First Trust South Korea AlphaDEX ETF -- USA Etf  

USD 30.9  0.21  0.68%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring First Trust headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with First Trust South Korea AlphaDEX ETF brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With First Trust hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of First Trust South Korea AlphaDEX ETF from the prospective of First Trust response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on First Trust over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see First Trust Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

First Trust Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline
January 20, 2018
30.9
Current Value
Downside upside
30.88
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
33.55
Upside
Upside upside
First Trust is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Trust South is based on 1 month time horizon.

First Trust Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.42% 0.89% 0.02%  0.02% 1 Events / Month1 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
30.930.880.06%
1,780% 

First Trust Hype Timeline

On 20 of January First Trust South Korea AlphaDEX ETF is traded for 30.9. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. First Trust South Korea AlphaDEX ETF is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 30.88. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 1780.0%. The closing price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.06% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.42%. The volatility of related hype on First Trust is about 2053.85% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 30.92. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.88. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. First Trust South Korea AlphaDEX ETF last dividend was issued on Marchch 23, 2017. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Additionally see First Trust Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

First Trust Related Hype Analysis