First Trust Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

FKO -- USA Etf  

USD 22.72  0.63  2.70%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with First Trust South Korea AlphaDEX ETF which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With First Trust hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of First Trust South Korea AlphaDEX ETF from the prospective of First Trust response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on First Trust over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see First Trust Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

First Trust After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

First Trust Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

October 23, 2018
22.72
Current Value
22.72
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
26.98
Upside
First Trust is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Trust South is based on 1 month time horizon.

First Trust Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.46% 1.42% 0.00%  0.01% 0 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
22.7222.720.00%
0.00% 

First Trust Hype Timeline

On 23 of October First Trust South Korea AlphaDEX ETF is traded for 22.72. This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. First Trust South Korea AlphaDEX ETF is estimated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 0.0%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small where as daily expected return is currently at -0.46%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to First Trust is about 4813.56%%. The volatility of related hype on First Trust is about 4813.56% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 22.71. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.88. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. First Trust South Korea AlphaDEX ETF last dividend was issued on Marchch 23, 2017. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in a few days.
Additionally see First Trust Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

First Trust Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
iShares MSCI Canada ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11)  1.18 (1.49)  4.28 
iShares MSCI Thailand Capped ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.20)  1.30 (1.64)  3.58 
iShares MSCI Turkey ETF 0.00 0 per month 2.59  0.14  4.03 (2.94)  7.97 
iShares MSCI South Africa ETF(0.15) 1 per month 0.00 (0.08)  4.31 (3.37)  8.84 
Global X MSCI Norway ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13)  2.40 (2.40)  5.88 
iShares MSCI All Peru ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08)  0.99 (1.40)  2.92 
iShares MSCI Austria Capped ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.23)  0.78 (1.72)  3.29 
iShares MSCI Israel Capped ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.17)  1.66 (1.52)  2.84 
WisdomTree Germany Hedged Equity ETF 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.10)  1.33 (1.45)  4.52 
iShares MSCI Belgium Capped ETF(0.14) 1 per month 0.00 (0.25)  1.21 (1.81)  3.50 

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