Flux Power Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| FLUX Stock | USD 4.26 0.08 1.84% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
49
Oversold | Overbought |
Flux Power Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Flux Power shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Flux Power's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Flux Power and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Flux Power's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Flux Power Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Flux Power's stock price prediction:EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.03) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.29) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.09 | Wall Street Target Price 11 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.04) |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Flux Power based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Flux stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Flux Power over a specific investment horizon. Using Flux Power hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Flux Power Holdings from the perspective of Flux Power response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Flux Power using Flux Power's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Flux using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Flux Power's stock price.
Flux Power Implied Volatility | 101.93 |
Flux Power's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Flux Power Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Flux Power's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Flux Power stock will not fluctuate a lot when Flux Power's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Flux Power. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Flux Power to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Flux because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Flux Power after-hype prediction price | USD 4.28 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Flux |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Flux Power's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Flux Power After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Flux Power at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Flux Power or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Flux Power, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Flux Power Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Flux Power's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Flux Power's historical news coverage. Flux Power's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.21 and 9.11, respectively. We have considered Flux Power's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Flux Power is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Flux Power Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Flux Power Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Flux Power is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Flux Power backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Flux Power, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 4.86 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.26 | 4.28 | 0.47 |
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Flux Power Hype Timeline
Flux Power Holdings is currently traded for 4.26. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Flux is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 4.28 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.47%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Flux Power is about 4050.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.25. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 66.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (6.74 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 17.1 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Flux Power Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Flux Power Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Flux Power's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Flux Power's future price movements. Getting to know how Flux Power's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Flux Power may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FREY | FREYR Battery SA | (0.22) | 6 per month | 4.25 | 0.05 | 10.71 | (6.86) | 25.83 | |
| OPTT | Ocean Power Technologies | (0.02) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 7.14 | (8.70) | 29.95 |
Flux Power Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Flux price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Flux using various technical indicators. When you analyze Flux charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Flux Power Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Flux Power stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Flux Power Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Flux Power based on analysis of Flux Power hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Flux Power's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Flux Power's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 5.27 | 5.06 | 1.77 | 1.69 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 169.42 | 140.82 | 28.68 | 27.24 |
Story Coverage note for Flux Power
The number of cover stories for Flux Power depends on current market conditions and Flux Power's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Flux Power is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Flux Power's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Flux Power Short Properties
Flux Power's future price predictability will typically decrease when Flux Power's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Flux Power Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Flux Power's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Flux Power's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.4 M |
Check out Flux Power Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Complementary Tools for Flux Stock analysis
When running Flux Power's price analysis, check to measure Flux Power's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Flux Power is operating at the current time. Most of Flux Power's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Flux Power's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Flux Power's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Flux Power to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Flux Power's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Flux Power. If investors know Flux will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Flux Power listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.36) | Revenue Per Share 3.956 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.069 | Return On Assets (0.07) | Return On Equity (0.66) |
The market value of Flux Power Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Flux that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Flux Power's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Flux Power's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Flux Power's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Flux Power's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Flux Power's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Flux Power is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Flux Power's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.