Federal Home Price Prediction

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Federal Home headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Federal Home hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation from the prospective of Federal Home response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Federal Home over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see Federal Home Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Federal Home estimiated after-hype price volatility

 Next price density 
Expected price to next headline
April 29, 2017
Current Value
Downside upside
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
Upside upside
Federal Home is extremely volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Federal Home Loan is based on 1 month time horizon.

Federal Home Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.73% 4.23% 0.01%  0.14% 1 Events / Month2 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

Federal Home Hype Timeline

Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation is currently traded for 2.86 . This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.14. Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 2.87. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 42300.0%. The price appreciation on the next news is estimated to be 0.35% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.73%. The volatility of related hype on Federal Home is about 2266.07% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 2.72. The company reported previous year revenue of 14.01 B. Net Income was 6.38 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 14.01 B. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in a few days.
Additionally see Federal Home Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Federal Home Related Hype Analysis

Short fall
At Risk
The Blackstone Group LP 0.24 2 per month 0.51  0.22 (0.78)  1.51 (1.24)  2.66 
The Carlyle Group LP 0.10 2 per month 0.43  0.37 (1.33)  2.94 (1.39)  3.44 
Legg Mason Inc(1.19) 1 per month 0.91  0.16 (1.00)  2.08 (1.05)  3.19 
MasterCard Incorporated(0.47) 1 per month 0.00  0.21 (0.75)  1.30 (0.57)  2.33 
The Western Union Company(0.24) 2 per month 0.00 (0.12)  0.00  1.19 (1.17)  4.04 
Stifel Financial Corp 0.44 2 per month 1.57 (0.02) (1.61)  2.32 (2.62)  5.37