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Benchmark SP 500  1,652   12.77  Index Moved Up 0.78% United States ...


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Fred risk analysis

 
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Fred Olsen Energy ASA

Stock@OTC Market 
United States 
 
1.79 times
 
601.98 M
   
Macroaxis considers Fred risky. Fred Olsen Energy ASA secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.1 which denotes Fred Olsen Energy ASA had -0.1% of return per unit of risk over the last 1 month. Macroaxis philosophy towards predicting risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and un-systematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Fred Olsen Energy ASA exposes twenty-one different technical indicators which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to make sure to check Fred Olsen Energy ASA Coefficient Of Variation of (963) and Mean Deviation of 1.55 to check risk estimate we provide.
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Investment horizon: 
  30 Days    Login   to change

Projected Return Density against Market

Assuming 30 trading days horizon, Fred Olsen Energy ASA has beta of -0.74 suggesting as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Fred are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Fred Olsen Energy ASA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally, Fred Olsen Energy ASA has negative alpha implying that risk taken by holding this securing is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming S&P 500
Predicted Return Density
 
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Returns   
S&P 500   Fred   
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the coefficient of variation of Fred is -962.89. The daily returns are destributed with a variance of 10.97 and standard deviation of 3.31. The mean deviation of Fred Olsen Energy ASA is currently at 1.55. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (S&P 500) has volatility of 0.84
alpha for Fred Olsen Energy ASA(alpha)=(0.74)
beta for Fred Olsen Energy ASA(beta) =(0.74)
volatility for Fred Olsen Energy ASA(volatility) = 3.31 

Actual Return Volatility

Fred Olsen Energy ASA accepts 3.31% volatility on return distribution over the 30 days horizon. S&P 500 shows 0.84% volatility of returns over 30 trading days.
Daily Returns (%)
Market   Equity   
 
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May 28 2013
 9.00 
  
 8.30 
(0.70)  Macroaxis: -7.77777777777777 Down   7.78%  
Lowest period price (30 days)
May 22 2013
 9.23 
  
 9.23 
0.00  No Change   0.00%  
Highest period price (30 days)
    
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Fred Olsen Energy ASA has a volatility of 3.31 and is 3.94 times more volatile than S&P 500. 41% of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Fred. Compared with the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Fred Olsen Energy ASA is lower than 41 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 30 days. Use Fred Olsen Energy ASA to protect against small markets fluctuations. The otc stock experiences no pattern. Wait for more market signals and watch out for any hype. As returns on market increase, returns on owning Fred are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, Fred is likely to outperform the market.

Fred correlation with market

Good diversification
Overlapping area represents amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Fred Olsen Energy ASA and equity matching GSPC index in the same portfolio

Fred Current Risk Indicators

Risk Adjusted Performance(0.08)
Market Risk Adjusted Performance0.4883
Mean Deviation1.55
Semi-Deviation0.0
Downside Deviation0.0
Coefficient Of Variation(963)
Standard Deviation3.31

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