Fossil Price Prediction

Fossil Group Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 9.21  0.29  3.25%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Fossil headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Fossil Group Inc brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Fossil hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Fossil Group Inc from the prospective of Fossil response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Fossil over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see Fossil Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Fossil estimiated after-hype price volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline
October 23, 2017
9.21
Current Value
Downside upside
9.21
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
9.21
Upside
Upside upside
Fossil is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fossil Group Inc is based on 1 month time horizon.

Fossil Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  0.00% 0 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
9.219.210.00%
0.00% 

Fossil Hype Timeline

Fossil Group Inc is currently traded for 9.21 . This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Fossil Group Inc is projected not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 0.0%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small where as daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Fossil is about 0.0%%. The volatility of related hype on Fossil is about 0.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 9.21. About 120.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.67. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Fossil Group Inc recorded loss per share of 6.75. This company had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 3:2 split on 2004-04-12. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in a few days.
Additionally see Fossil Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Fossil Related Hype Analysis