Fossil Group Stock Technical Analysis

FOSL Stock  USD 0.85  0.02  2.30%   
As of the 19th of March, Fossil shows the Mean Deviation of 2.89, variance of 14.78, and Standard Deviation of 3.84. Fossil Group technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We are able to interpolate and collect thirteen technical drivers for Fossil Group, which can be compared to its rivals. Please confirm Fossil Group market risk adjusted performance, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the Information Ratio and skewness to decide if Fossil Group is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 0.85 per share. Given that Fossil is a hitting penny stock territory we advise to closely look at its jensen alpha.

Fossil Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Fossil, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Fossil
  
Fossil's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.

Fossil Analyst Consensus

Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
7.0Strong Sell0Odds
Fossil Group current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Fossil analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Fossil stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Fossil Group, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Fossil conference calls.
Fossil Analyst Advice Details
Fossil technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Fossil technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Fossil trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Fossil Group Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was ten with a total number of output elements of fifty-one. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Fossil Group volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

Fossil Group Trend Analysis

Use this graph to draw trend lines for Fossil Group. You can use it to identify possible trend reversals for Fossil as well as other signals and approximate when it will take place. Remember, you need at least two touches of the trend line with actual Fossil price movement. To start drawing, click on the pencil icon on top-right. To remove the trend, use eraser icon.

Fossil Best Fit Change Line

The following chart estimates an ordinary least squares regression model for Fossil Group applied against its price change over selected period. The best fit line has a slop of   0.01  , which may suggest that Fossil Group market price will keep on failing further. It has 122 observation points and a regression sum of squares at 4.86, which is the sum of squared deviations for the predicted Fossil price change compared to its average price change.

About Fossil Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Fossil Group on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fossil Group based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Fossil Group price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Fossil Group. By analyzing Fossil's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Fossil's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Fossil specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Operating Cycle236.73209.9
Dividend Yield0.0049040.003186

Fossil March 19, 2024 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Fossil help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fossil from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Fossil charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Fossil March 19, 2024 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Fossil stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
When determining whether Fossil Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Fossil's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Fossil's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Fossil Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Fossil Group. Also, note that the market value of any Company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

Complementary Tools for Fossil Stock analysis

When running Fossil's price analysis, check to measure Fossil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fossil is operating at the current time. Most of Fossil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fossil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fossil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fossil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Fossil's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fossil. If investors know Fossil will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fossil listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.82)
Earnings Share
(3.00)
Revenue Per Share
27.014
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.16)
Return On Assets
(0.05)
The market value of Fossil Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fossil that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fossil's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fossil's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fossil's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fossil's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fossil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fossil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fossil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.