Fossil Valuation

FOSL Stock  USD 0.85  0.02  2.30%   
Today, the firm appears to be undervalued. Fossil Group shows a prevailing Real Value of $2.4 per share. The current price of the firm is $0.85. Our model computes the value of Fossil Group from reviewing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 317.14 M, shares outstanding of 52.49 M, and Profit Margin of (0.11) % as well as analyzing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. In general, most investors advise picking up undervalued instruments and discarding overvalued instruments since, at some point, asset prices and their ongoing real values will submerge.
Price Book
0.1796
Enterprise Value
317.1 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
(2.75)
Price Sales
0.0323
Enterprise Value Revenue
0.2245
Undervalued
Today
0.85
Please note that Fossil's price fluctuation is risky at this time. Calculation of the real value of Fossil Group is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Fossil's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Our valuation method for Fossil Group is useful when determining the fair value of the Fossil stock, which is usually determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Fossil. Since Fossil is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Fossil Stock. However, Fossil's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  0.85 Real  2.4 Target  7.0 Hype  0.82 Naive  0.78
The real value of a stock, also known as the intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of a company that is reflected in its stock price. It is based on the company's financial performance, assets, liabilities, growth prospects, management team, industry conditions, and other relevant factors. The real value of a stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, price-to-book ratio, and other valuation metrics. The real value of a stock may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence the stock's price. It is important to note that the real value of a stock is not a fixed number and may change over time based on changes in the company's performance and other relevant factors.
2.40
Real Value
5.70
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Fossil Group helps investors to forecast how Fossil stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Fossil more accurately as focusing exclusively on Fossil's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.824.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.020.784.08
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
6.377.007.77
Details

Fossil Investments

(9.38 Million)

Fossil Valuation Ratios as Compared to Competition

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining Fossil's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Fossil value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth. You can analyze the relationship between different fundamental ratios across Fossil competition to find correlations between indicators driving Fossil's intrinsic value. More Info.
Fossil Group is rated # 2 in beta category among related companies. It is rated below average in price to book category among related companies fabricating about  0.09  of Price To Book per Beta. The ratio of Beta to Price To Book for Fossil Group is roughly  11.39 . The value of Price To Book Ratio is estimated to slide to 0.61. Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all model that can be used if you cannot value Fossil by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. This model doesn't attempt to find an intrinsic value for Fossil's Stock . Still, instead, it compares the stock's price multiples to a benchmark or nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued. The reason why the comparable model can be used in almost all circumstances is due to the vast number of multiples that can be utilized, such as the price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-book (P/B), price-to-sales (P/S), price-to-cash flow (P/CF), and many others. The P/E ratio is the most commonly used of these ratios because it focuses on the Fossil's earnings, one of the primary drivers of an investment's value.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Fossil's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Fossil and how it compares across the competition.

About Fossil Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines the current worth of Fossil Group on a weekly basis. We use both absolute as well as relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fossil Group. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Fossil Group based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Fossil's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and its related drivers such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Fossil's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Fossil. We calculate exposure to Fossil's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Fossil's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for 2024
Gross Profit680.6 M868.3 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.02)(0.01)
Operating Profit Margin(0.01)(0.01)
Net Loss(0.03)(0.03)
Gross Profit Margin 0.44  0.41 

Fossil Quarterly Retained Earnings

18.4 Million

8 Steps to conduct Fossil's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Fossil's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Fossil's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Fossil's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Fossil's revenue streams: Identify Fossil's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Fossil's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Fossil's growth potential: Evaluate Fossil's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Fossil's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Fossil's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Fossil Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines. Note, investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Fossil does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding52.3 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.817

Fossil Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Fossil Group and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Fossil we look at many different elements of the entity such as Fossil's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation. Fossil's valuation analysis is also a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Fossil's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Fossil, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Fossil's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Fossil's worth.
When determining whether Fossil Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Fossil's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Fossil's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Fossil Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Fossil Group. Also, note that the market value of any Company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.

Complementary Tools for Fossil Stock analysis

When running Fossil's price analysis, check to measure Fossil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fossil is operating at the current time. Most of Fossil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fossil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fossil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fossil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Fossil's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fossil. If investors know Fossil will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fossil listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.82)
Earnings Share
(3.00)
Revenue Per Share
27.014
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.16)
Return On Assets
(0.05)
The market value of Fossil Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fossil that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fossil's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fossil's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fossil's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fossil's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fossil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fossil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fossil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.