First Merchants Stock Technical Analysis

FRME Stock  USD 35.05  0.33  0.95%   
As of the 25th of April, First Merchants shows the Coefficient Of Variation of 146536.73, downside deviation of 1.81, and Mean Deviation of 1.39. First Merchants technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We have collected data for nineteen technical drivers for First Merchants, which can be compared to its peers. Please confirm First Merchants variance, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and semi variance to decide if First Merchants is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 35.05 per share. Given that First Merchants has jensen alpha of (0.14), we urge you to verify First Merchants's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

First Merchants Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as First, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to First
  
First Merchants' Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.

First Merchants Analyst Consensus

Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
36.33Strong Buy5Odds
First Merchants current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most First analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand First stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of First Merchants, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to First conference calls.
First Analyst Advice Details
First Merchants technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of First Merchants technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of First Merchants trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

First Merchants Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was ten with a total number of output elements of fifty-one. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of First Merchants volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

First Merchants Trend Analysis

Use this graph to draw trend lines for First Merchants. You can use it to identify possible trend reversals for First Merchants as well as other signals and approximate when it will take place. Remember, you need at least two touches of the trend line with actual First Merchants price movement. To start drawing, click on the pencil icon on top-right. To remove the trend, use eraser icon.

First Merchants Best Fit Change Line

The following chart estimates an ordinary least squares regression model for First Merchants applied against its price change over selected period. The best fit line has a slop of    , which means First Merchants will continue generating value for investors. It has 122 observation points and a regression sum of squares at 0.04, which is the sum of squared deviations for the predicted First Merchants price change compared to its average price change.

About First Merchants Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of First Merchants on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Merchants based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on First Merchants price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding First Merchants. By analyzing First Merchants's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of First Merchants's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to First Merchants specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02720.03130.03730.0353
Price To Sales Ratio4.333.782.212.7

First Merchants April 25, 2024 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of First help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
When determining whether First Merchants is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if First Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about First Merchants Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about First Merchants Stock:
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in First Merchants. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
For information on how to trade First Stock refer to our How to Trade First Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis

When running First Merchants' price analysis, check to measure First Merchants' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Merchants is operating at the current time. Most of First Merchants' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Merchants' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Merchants' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Merchants to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is First Merchants' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Merchants. If investors know First will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about First Merchants listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.41)
Dividend Share
1.34
Earnings Share
3.73
Revenue Per Share
10.918
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.10)
The market value of First Merchants is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Merchants' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Merchants' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Merchants' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Merchants' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Merchants' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Merchants is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Merchants' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.