Correlation Between First Trust and Invesco DB

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Trust and Invesco DB at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Trust and Invesco DB into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Trust Global and Invesco DB Commodity, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Trust and Invesco DB and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Trust with a short position of Invesco DB. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Trust and Invesco DB.

Diversification Opportunities for First Trust and Invesco DB

0.96
  Correlation Coefficient

Almost no diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and Invesco is 0.96. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Trust Global and Invesco DB Commodity in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Invesco DB Commodity and First Trust is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Trust Global are associated (or correlated) with Invesco DB. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Invesco DB Commodity has no effect on the direction of First Trust i.e., First Trust and Invesco DB go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Trust and Invesco DB

Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Trust Global is expected to generate 0.82 times more return on investment than Invesco DB. However, First Trust Global is 1.22 times less risky than Invesco DB. It trades about 0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Invesco DB Commodity is currently generating about 0.11 per unit of risk. If you would invest  2,369  in First Trust Global on January 19, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  47.00  from holding First Trust Global or generate 1.98% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Strong
Accuracy95.65%
ValuesDaily Returns

First Trust Global  vs.  Invesco DB Commodity

 Performance 
       Timeline  
First Trust Global 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

17 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Solid
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Trust Global are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather uncertain technical and fundamental indicators, First Trust may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in May 2024.
Invesco DB Commodity 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

11 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Invesco DB Commodity are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather sound fundamental drivers, Invesco DB is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders.

First Trust and Invesco DB Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with First Trust and Invesco DB

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Trust and Invesco DB positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Trust position performs unexpectedly, Invesco DB can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Invesco DB will offset losses from the drop in Invesco DB's long position.
The idea behind First Trust Global and Invesco DB Commodity pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.

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