Grayscale Bitcoin Trust Etf Price Prediction
| GBTC Etf | USD 56.58 2.27 4.18% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
56
Oversold | Overbought |
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust etf price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Grayscale Bitcoin shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Grayscale Bitcoin's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Grayscale Bitcoin and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Grayscale Bitcoin's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether etf price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Grayscale Bitcoin based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Grayscale price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Grayscale Bitcoin over a specific investment horizon. Using Grayscale Bitcoin hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust from the perspective of Grayscale Bitcoin response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Grayscale Bitcoin. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Grayscale Bitcoin to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Grayscale because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Grayscale Bitcoin after-hype prediction price | USD 56.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Grayscale |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Grayscale Bitcoin's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Grayscale Bitcoin After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Grayscale Bitcoin at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Grayscale Bitcoin or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Grayscale Bitcoin, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Grayscale Bitcoin Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Grayscale Bitcoin's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Grayscale Bitcoin's historical news coverage. Grayscale Bitcoin's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 52.96 and 60.40, respectively. We have considered Grayscale Bitcoin's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Grayscale Bitcoin is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is based on 3 months time horizon.
Grayscale Bitcoin Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Grayscale Bitcoin is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Grayscale Bitcoin backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Grayscale Bitcoin, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.72 | 3.73 | 0.78 | 3.09 | 11 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
56.58 | 56.68 | 1.29 |
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Grayscale Bitcoin Hype Timeline
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is currently traded for 56.58. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.78, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 3.09. Grayscale is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 56.68 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is estimated to be 1.29%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.72%. The volatility of related hype on Grayscale Bitcoin is about 86.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 59.67. Net Income was 9.95 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Grayscale Bitcoin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Grayscale Bitcoin Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Grayscale Bitcoin's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Grayscale Bitcoin's future price movements. Getting to know how Grayscale Bitcoin's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Grayscale Bitcoin may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ETHE | Grayscale Ethereum Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.13 | 0.02 | 9.17 | (7.89) | 26.00 | |
| RIOT | Riot Blockchain | (0.41) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 11.81 | (7.50) | 26.75 | |
| MARA | Marathon Digital Holdings | 0.33 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 14.35 | (9.02) | 39.57 | |
| COIN | Coinbase Global | 12.75 | 9 per month | 4.01 | 0.15 | 11.36 | (7.11) | 25.94 | |
| MSTR | MicroStrategy Incorporated | 8.81 | 7 per month | 6.13 | 0.20 | 15.86 | (10.92) | 44.80 |
Grayscale Bitcoin Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Grayscale price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Grayscale using various technical indicators. When you analyze Grayscale charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Grayscale Bitcoin Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Grayscale Bitcoin stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Grayscale Bitcoin based on analysis of Grayscale Bitcoin hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Grayscale Bitcoin's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Grayscale Bitcoin's related companies. Story Coverage note for Grayscale Bitcoin
The number of cover stories for Grayscale Bitcoin depends on current market conditions and Grayscale Bitcoin's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Grayscale Bitcoin is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Grayscale Bitcoin's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Grayscale Bitcoin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
The market value of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Grayscale that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Grayscale Bitcoin's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Grayscale Bitcoin's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Grayscale Bitcoin's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Grayscale Bitcoin's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Grayscale Bitcoin's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Grayscale Bitcoin is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grayscale Bitcoin's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.