Projected Return Density against Market
Considering 30-days investment horizon, GreenHaven has beta of 0.26 . This indicates as returns on market go up, GreenHaven avarage returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding GreenHaven Continuous Commodity Index will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally, GreenHaven Continuous Commodity Index has negative alpha implying that risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming S&P 500
Predicted Return Density
Considering 30-days investment horizon, the coefficient of variation of GreenHaven is -808.04. The daily returns are destributed with a variance of 0.11 and standard deviation of 0.34. The mean deviation of GreenHaven Continuous Commodity Index is currently at 0.25. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (S&P 500) has volatility of 0.56
Actual Return Volatility
GreenHaven Continuous Commodity Index has volatility of 0.34%
on return distribution over 30 days investment horizon. S&P 500 shows 0.56% volatility of returns over 30 trading days.