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GreenHaven risk analysis

 
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GreenHaven ntinuous

ETF@Archipelago Exchange 
United States USD
     
Use GreenHaven Continuous Commodity Index risk analysis concurrently with your other holdings, portfolios, and investing themes to protect against small markets fluctuations and to back test it against optimization strategy that fits your risk preferences.  Analyze Themes
Investment horizon: 
  30 Days    Login   to change

Projected Return Density against Market

Considering 30-days investment horizon, GreenHaven has beta of 0.4 . This indicates as returns on market go up, GreenHaven avarage returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding GreenHaven Continuous Commodity Index will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover, GreenHaven Continuous Commodity Index has alpha of 0.4 implying that it can potentially generate 0.4% excess return over S&P 500 after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
Predicted Return Density
 
Returns   
S&P 500   GreenHaven   
Considering 30-days investment horizon, the coefficient of variation of GreenHaven is 30579.99. The daily returns are destributed with a variance of 0.47 and standard deviation of 0.69. The mean deviation of GreenHaven Continuous Commodity Index is currently at 0.52. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (S&P 500) has volatility of 0.54
alpha for GreenHaven Continuous Commodity Index(alpha)= 0.40 
beta for GreenHaven Continuous Commodity Index(beta) = 0.40 
volatility for GreenHaven Continuous Commodity Index(volatility) = 0.69 

Actual Return Volatility

GreenHaven Continuous Commodity Index has volatility of 0.69% on return distribution over 30 days investment horizon. S&P 500 shows 0.54% volatility of returns over 30 trading days.
Daily Returns (%)
Market   Equity   
 
    
April 23 2013
 27.01 
  
 26.91 
(0.10)  Macroaxis: -0.3702332469455809 Down   0.37%  
Lowest period price (30 days)
April 30 2013
 27.62 
  
 27.67 
0.05  Macroaxis: 0.1810282404055058 Up   0.18%  
Highest period price (30 days)
    
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GreenHaven Continuous Commodity Index has a volatility of 0.69 and is 1.28 times more volatile than S&P 500. 9% of all equities and portfolios are less risky than GreenHaven. Compared with the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of GreenHaven Continuous Commodity Index is lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 30 days. Use GreenHaven Continuous Commodity Index to protect against small markets fluctuations. The etf experiences normal downward trend and little activity. As returns on market increase, GreenHaven returns are expected to increase less than the market. However during bear market, the loss on holding GreenHaven will be expected to be smaller as well.

GreenHaven correlation with market

Weak diversification
Overlapping area represents amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding GreenHaven Continuous Commodit and equity matching GSPC index in the same portfolio

GreenHaven Current Risk Indicators

Risk Adjusted Performance0.0039
Market Risk Adjusted Performance(0.0094)
Mean Deviation0.5194
Semi-Deviation0.6364
Downside Deviation0.6695
Coefficient Of Variation30579.99
Standard Deviation0.6853

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