Correlation Between Gold Reserve and NovaGold Resources

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Gold Reserve and NovaGold Resources at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Gold Reserve and NovaGold Resources into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Gold Reserve and NovaGold Resources, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Gold Reserve and NovaGold Resources and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Gold Reserve with a short position of NovaGold Resources. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Gold Reserve and NovaGold Resources.

Diversification Opportunities for Gold Reserve and NovaGold Resources

-0.67
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between Gold and NovaGold is -0.67. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Gold Reserve and NovaGold Resources in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on NovaGold Resources and Gold Reserve is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Gold Reserve are associated (or correlated) with NovaGold Resources. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of NovaGold Resources has no effect on the direction of Gold Reserve i.e., Gold Reserve and NovaGold Resources go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Gold Reserve and NovaGold Resources

Assuming the 90 days horizon Gold Reserve is expected to under-perform the NovaGold Resources. But the otc stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Gold Reserve is 2.58 times less risky than NovaGold Resources. The otc stock trades about -0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The NovaGold Resources is currently generating about 0.13 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  280.00  in NovaGold Resources on January 20, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  27.00  from holding NovaGold Resources or generate 9.64% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy91.3%
ValuesDaily Returns

Gold Reserve  vs.  NovaGold Resources

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Gold Reserve 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Gold Reserve has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, Gold Reserve is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.
NovaGold Resources 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days NovaGold Resources has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest weak performance, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the company stockholders.

Gold Reserve and NovaGold Resources Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Gold Reserve and NovaGold Resources

The main advantage of trading using opposite Gold Reserve and NovaGold Resources positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Gold Reserve position performs unexpectedly, NovaGold Resources can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in NovaGold Resources will offset losses from the drop in NovaGold Resources' long position.
The idea behind Gold Reserve and NovaGold Resources pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

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