Vaneck Junior Gold Etf Volatility

GDXJ Etf  USD 40.20  1.99  4.72%   
VanEck Junior appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. VanEck Junior Gold owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.14, which indicates the etf had a 0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for VanEck Junior Gold, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the etf. Please review VanEck Junior's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1131, coefficient of variation of 576.93, and Semi Deviation of 1.66 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to VanEck Junior's volatility include:
270 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
270 Days Economic Sensitivity
VanEck Junior Etf volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of VanEck daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use VanEck's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of VanEck Junior volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as VanEck Junior can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of VanEck Junior at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase VanEck stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of VanEck Junior's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Moving together with VanEck Etf

  0.98GDX VanEck Gold MinersPairCorr
  0.97SIL Global X SilverPairCorr
  0.98SILJ ETFMG Prime JuniorPairCorr
  0.99SGDM Sprott Gold MinersPairCorr
  0.98SGDJ Sprott Junior GoldPairCorr
  0.99GOAU US Global GOPairCorr
  1.0GOEX Global X GoldPairCorr
  0.97CRIT Optica Rare EarthsPairCorr

VanEck Junior Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

VanEck Junior's beta coefficient measures the volatility of VanEck etf compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents VanEck etf's returns against your selected market. In other words, VanEck Junior's beta of 1.97 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk VanEck Junior etf can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. VanEck Junior Gold has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.14 and kurtosis of 0.53. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure VanEck Junior's etf risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact VanEck Junior's etf price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze VanEck Junior Gold Demand Trend
Check current 90 days VanEck Junior correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

VanEck Beta

    
  1.97  
VanEck standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  2.22  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by VanEck Junior's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of VanEck Junior's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in vaneck etf tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in VanEck Junior.

Using VanEck Put Option to Manage Risk

Put options written on VanEck Junior grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of VanEck Junior at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of VanEck Etf cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge VanEck Junior's position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding VanEck Junior will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.

VanEck Junior's PUT expiring on 2024-04-26

   Profit   
       VanEck Junior Price At Expiration  

Current VanEck Junior Insurance Chain

DeltaGammaOpen IntExpirationCurrent SpreadLast Price
Put
2024-04-26 PUT at $46.0-0.69510.0565222024-04-262.82 - 4.93.55View
Put
2024-04-26 PUT at $45.0-0.95110.06251012024-04-262.7 - 2.962.72View
Put
2024-04-26 PUT at $44.0-0.77450.1345402024-04-262.02 - 2.112.07View
Put
2024-04-26 PUT at $43.0-0.62820.17252312024-04-261.32 - 1.341.28View
Put
2024-04-26 PUT at $42.0-0.44960.18222732024-04-260.75 - 0.770.71View
Put
2024-04-26 PUT at $41.0-0.27340.15522212024-04-260.37 - 0.40.37View
Put
2024-04-26 PUT at $40.5-0.20490.12914462024-04-260.25 - 0.280.26View
Put
2024-04-26 PUT at $40.0-0.14560.10312882024-04-260.16 - 0.190.17View
Put
2024-04-26 PUT at $39.5-0.10610.0795972024-04-260.11 - 0.130.12View
Put
2024-04-26 PUT at $39.0-0.07980.061932024-04-260.07 - 0.110.09View
Put
2024-04-26 PUT at $38.5-0.05540.0451872024-04-260.05 - 0.080.06View
View All VanEck Junior Options

VanEck Junior Gold Etf Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which VanEck Junior etf price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with VanEck Junior's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of VanEck Junior's etf to predict their future moves. A etf that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A etf with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile etf is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of VanEck Junior's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of etf volatility measures VanEck Junior's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict VanEck Junior's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the etf.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for VanEck Junior's current market price. This means that the etf will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on VanEck Junior's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. VanEck Junior Gold Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

VanEck Junior Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the etf has the beta coefficient of 1.9664 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, VanEck Junior will likely underperform.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to VanEck Junior or VanEck sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that VanEck Junior's price will be affected by overall etf market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a VanEck etf's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
VanEck Junior Gold has an alpha of 0.2064, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
VanEck Junior's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how vaneck etf's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a VanEck Junior Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a etf's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

VanEck Junior Etf Risk Measures

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of VanEck Junior is 711.1. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 4.94 and standard deviation of 2.22. The mean deviation of VanEck Junior Gold is currently at 1.81. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.61
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.21
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.97
σ
Overall volatility
2.22
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

VanEck Junior Etf Return Volatility

VanEck Junior historical daily return volatility represents how much of VanEck Junior etf's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The ETF firm inherits 2.2226% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6294% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About VanEck Junior Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of VanEck Junior or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of VanEck Junior may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to VanEck's beta indicator, it measures the risk of VanEck Junior and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of VanEck Junior fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its total assets in securities that comprise the index. Vaneck Junior is traded on NYSEARCA Exchange in the United States.
VanEck Junior's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on VanEck Etf over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much VanEck Junior's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize VanEck Junior's volatility to invest better

Higher VanEck Junior's etf volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of VanEck Junior Gold etf is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. VanEck Junior Gold etf volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of VanEck Junior Gold investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in VanEck Junior's etf can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of VanEck Junior's etf relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

VanEck Junior Investment Opportunity

VanEck Junior Gold has a volatility of 2.22 and is 3.52 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. 19 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than VanEck Junior. You can use VanEck Junior Gold to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The etf experiences a very speculative upward sentiment. Check odds of VanEck Junior to be traded at $38.19 in 90 days.

Very weak diversification

The correlation between VanEck Junior Gold and NYA is 0.57 (i.e., Very weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding VanEck Junior Gold and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

VanEck Junior Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of VanEck Junior's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VanEck Junior's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of VanEck Junior etf's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential etfs, we recommend comparing similar etfs with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

VanEck Junior Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against VanEck Junior as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. VanEck Junior's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, VanEck Junior's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to VanEck Junior Gold.
When determining whether VanEck Junior Gold is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if VanEck Etf is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Vaneck Junior Gold Etf. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Vaneck Junior Gold Etf:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in VanEck Junior Gold. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in interest.
You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
The market value of VanEck Junior Gold is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VanEck that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VanEck Junior's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VanEck Junior's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VanEck Junior's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VanEck Junior's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VanEck Junior's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VanEck Junior is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VanEck Junior's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.