Use Greif Inc. performance concurrently with your other holdings to protect against small markets fluctuations and to back test it against optimization strategy that fits your risk preferences.
If you would invest 5,424 in Greif Inc. on April 26, 2012 and sell it today you would lose (975) from holding Greif Inc. or give up 17.98% of portfolio value over 30 days. Greif Inc. is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 1.34% on return distribution over 30 days investment horizon. In other words, 22% of equities are less volatile than the company and above 99% of equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 30 days.
Daily Expected Return (%)
Risk [Daily Volatility] (%)
Considering 30-days investment horizon, Greif Inc. is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.84 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.64 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The NYSE is currently generating roughly -0.47 per unit of volatility.
Greif Operating Margin
Based on recorded statements Greif Inc. has Operating Margin of 8.65%. This is 282.88% lower than that of Consumer Goods sector, and significantly higher than that of Packaging and Containers industry, The Operating Margin for all stocks is 268.62% lower than the firm.
A good Operating Margin is required for a company to be able to pay for its fixed costs or pay out its debt which implies that the higher the margin, the better. This ratio is most effective in evaluating the earning potential of a company over time when comparing it against firm's competitors.
Over the last 30 days Greif Inc. has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions.
1 Month Effecincy (a.k Sharpe Ratio) ...
-0.64
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GEF
Estimated Market Risk
1.34
actual daily
78 %
of total potential
Expected Return
-0.86
actual daily
1 %
of total potential
Risk-Adjusted Return
-0.64
actual daily
1 %
of total potential
Based on monthly moving average Greif is performing at about 0% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Greif by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.
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