Gema Grahasarana (Indonesia) Price Prediction
| GEMA Stock | IDR 274.00 6.00 2.24% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
52
Oversold | Overbought |
Gema Grahasarana Tbk stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Gema Grahasarana shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Gema Grahasarana's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Gema Grahasarana and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Gema Grahasarana's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Gema Grahasarana Tbk, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Gema Grahasarana based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Gema stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Gema Grahasarana over a specific investment horizon. Using Gema Grahasarana hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gema Grahasarana Tbk from the perspective of Gema Grahasarana response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Gema Grahasarana. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Gema Grahasarana to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Gema because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Gema Grahasarana after-hype prediction price | IDR 274.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Gema |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gema Grahasarana's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gema Grahasarana After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gema Grahasarana at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gema Grahasarana or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gema Grahasarana, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gema Grahasarana Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gema Grahasarana's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gema Grahasarana's historical news coverage. Gema Grahasarana's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 270.42 and 277.58, respectively. We have considered Gema Grahasarana's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gema Grahasarana is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gema Grahasarana Tbk is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gema Grahasarana Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gema Grahasarana is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gema Grahasarana backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gema Grahasarana, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.34 | 3.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
274.00 | 274.00 | 0.00 |
|
Gema Grahasarana Hype Timeline
Gema Grahasarana Tbk is currently traded for 274.00on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Gema is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.34%. %. The volatility of related hype on Gema Grahasarana is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 274.00. About 79.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.19. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Gema Grahasarana Tbk recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.63. The entity last dividend was issued on the 8th of September 2020. The firm had 5:1 split on the 13th of July 2018. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Gema Grahasarana Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Gema Grahasarana Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gema Grahasarana's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gema Grahasarana's future price movements. Getting to know how Gema Grahasarana's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gema Grahasarana may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LTLS | Lautan Luas Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 2.62 | (2.99) | 9.04 | |
| MDRN | Modern Internasional Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 25.00 | (20.00) | 45.00 | |
| MRAT | Mustika Ratu Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.84 | (0.03) | 3.37 | (3.28) | 9.69 |
Gema Grahasarana Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gema price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gema using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gema charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Gema Grahasarana Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Gema Grahasarana stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Gema Grahasarana Tbk, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Gema Grahasarana based on analysis of Gema Grahasarana hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Gema Grahasarana's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Gema Grahasarana's related companies. Story Coverage note for Gema Grahasarana
The number of cover stories for Gema Grahasarana depends on current market conditions and Gema Grahasarana's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gema Grahasarana is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gema Grahasarana's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Gema Grahasarana Short Properties
Gema Grahasarana's future price predictability will typically decrease when Gema Grahasarana's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gema Grahasarana Tbk often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gema Grahasarana's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gema Grahasarana's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.6 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 67 B |
Check out Gema Grahasarana Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Complementary Tools for Gema Stock analysis
When running Gema Grahasarana's price analysis, check to measure Gema Grahasarana's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gema Grahasarana is operating at the current time. Most of Gema Grahasarana's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gema Grahasarana's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gema Grahasarana's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gema Grahasarana to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Instant Ratings Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Stock Tickers Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites | |
| Equity Analysis Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities | |
| Equity Search Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets | |
| Price Ceiling Movement Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments | |
| Odds Of Bankruptcy Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Theme Ratings Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Balance Of Power Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios | |
| Global Markets Map Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes | |
| Portfolio Optimization Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk | |
| Bonds Directory Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies | |
| Transaction History View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance | |
| Pattern Recognition Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges |