Gencor Industries Stock Price Prediction
| GENC Stock | USD 16.78 0.02 0.12% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
72
Oversold | Overbought |
Gencor Industries stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Gencor Industries shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Gencor Industries' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Gencor Industries and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Gencor Industries' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Gencor Industries, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Gencor Industries' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.245 | Wall Street Target Price 19 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.007 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Gencor Industries based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Gencor stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Gencor Industries over a specific investment horizon. Using Gencor Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gencor Industries from the perspective of Gencor Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Gencor Industries using Gencor Industries' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Gencor using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Gencor Industries' stock price.
Gencor Industries Implied Volatility | 306.72 |
Gencor Industries' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Gencor Industries stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Gencor Industries' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Gencor Industries stock will not fluctuate a lot when Gencor Industries' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Gencor Industries. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Gencor Industries to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Gencor because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Gencor Industries after-hype prediction price | USD 16.79 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Gencor |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gencor Industries' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gencor Industries After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gencor Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gencor Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gencor Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gencor Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gencor Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gencor Industries' historical news coverage. Gencor Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.05 and 18.53, respectively. We have considered Gencor Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gencor Industries is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gencor Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gencor Industries Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gencor Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gencor Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gencor Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.74 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 6 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
16.78 | 16.79 | 0.06 |
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Gencor Industries Hype Timeline
Gencor Industries is currently traded for 16.78. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Gencor is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 16.79 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is estimated to be 0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Gencor Industries is about 3070.59%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.78. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 105.08 M. Net Income was 14.67 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 20.54 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Gencor Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Gencor Industries Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gencor Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gencor Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how Gencor Industries' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gencor Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ISPOW | Thayer Ventures Acquisition | 0.00 | 1 per month | 12.00 | 0.12 | 26.67 | (25.00) | 170.23 | |
| IVDAW | Iveda Solutions Warrant | (0.01) | 6 per month | 16.71 | 0.09 | 60.00 | (37.50) | 196.15 | |
| AQUI | Aquagold International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.00 | |
| MSTSX | Morningstar Unconstrained Allocation | (0.26) | 3 per month | 0.64 | (0.05) | 0.98 | (1.06) | 3.20 | |
| LBHIX | Thrivent High Yield | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.32) | 0.48 | (0.48) | 1.21 | |
| VIASP | Via Renewables | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.28 | 0.04 | 3.60 | (3.74) | 13.41 | |
| RRTLX | T Rowe Price | (0.40) | 1 per month | 0.31 | (0.15) | 0.51 | (0.59) | 1.46 | |
| OSHDF | Oshidori International Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 70082LAB3 | US70082LAB36 | 0.16 | 26 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.52 | (1.89) | 17.21 |
Gencor Industries Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gencor price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gencor using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gencor charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Gencor Industries Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Gencor Industries stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Gencor Industries, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Gencor Industries based on analysis of Gencor Industries hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Gencor Industries's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Gencor Industries's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 18.04 | 13.81 | 59.73 | 50.49 | PTB Ratio | 0.79 | 1.14 | 4.32 | 4.54 |
Story Coverage note for Gencor Industries
The number of cover stories for Gencor Industries depends on current market conditions and Gencor Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gencor Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gencor Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Gencor Industries Short Properties
Gencor Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when Gencor Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gencor Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gencor Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gencor Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 101.3 M |
Check out Gencor Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Gencor Stock refer to our How to Trade Gencor Stock guide.You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Complementary Tools for Gencor Stock analysis
When running Gencor Industries' price analysis, check to measure Gencor Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gencor Industries is operating at the current time. Most of Gencor Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gencor Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gencor Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gencor Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Gencor Industries' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gencor Industries. If investors know Gencor will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gencor Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.245 | Earnings Share 1.06 | Revenue Per Share 7.182 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.007 | Return On Assets 0.047 |
The market value of Gencor Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gencor that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gencor Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gencor Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gencor Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gencor Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gencor Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gencor Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gencor Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.