Guess Inc Stock Analysis
GES Stock | USD 25.51 0.22 0.87% |
Guess Inc is undervalued with Real Value of 26.67 and Target Price of 27.3. The main objective of Guess stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Guess Inc is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Guess' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Guess' performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Guess' stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Guess stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Guess is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Guess Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Guess' ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
Guess |
Guess Stock Analysis Notes
About 50.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Guess was currently reported as 12.92. The company last dividend was issued on the 16th of April 2024. Guess Inc had 2:1 split on the 13th of March 2007. , Inc. designs, markets, distributes, and licenses lifestyle collections of apparel and accessories for men, women, and children. , Inc. was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Los Angeles, California. Guess operates under Apparel Retail classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 12500 people. To learn more about Guess Inc call Carlos Alberini at 213 765 3100 or check out https://www.guess.com.Guess Quarterly Total Revenue |
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Guess Inc Investment Alerts
Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Guess' investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Guess Inc or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Guess Inc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
Guess Inc is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
Latest headline from news.google.com: Guess, Inc. Short Interest Update - MarketBeat |
Guess Inc Upcoming and Recent Events
Earnings reports are used by Guess to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Guess previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
12th of March 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
22nd of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
31st of January 2024 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
12th of March 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
31st of October 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
31st of January 2023 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Guess Largest EPS Surprises
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Guess' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2003-02-26 | 2003-01-31 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 100 | ||
2002-02-28 | 2002-01-31 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 100 | ||
2001-11-01 | 2001-10-31 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 25 |
Guess Thematic Classifications
In addition to having Guess stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
ApparelUSA Equities from Apparel industry as classified by Fama & French |
Guess Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Guess is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Guess Inc backward and forwards among themselves. Guess' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Guess' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares | Barclays Plc | 2023-12-31 | 851.5 K | Nomura Holdings Inc | 2023-12-31 | 800.2 K | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2023-12-31 | 718.7 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 698.6 K | Bank Of Montreal | 2023-12-31 | 668.4 K | Bmo Capital Markets Corp. | 2023-12-31 | 668.4 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2023-12-31 | 662.6 K | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 595.8 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 593.1 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 4.8 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 3.5 M |
Guess Market Capitalization
The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 1.35 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Guess's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Guess's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.Guess Profitablity
Guess' profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Guess' ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Guess is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Guess' executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Guess' profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Guess' financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.07 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.16 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.16 of operating income. Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Return On Tangible Assets | 0.08 | 0.16 | |
Return On Capital Employed | 0.15 | 0.35 | |
Return On Assets | 0.08 | 0.15 | |
Return On Equity | 0.29 | 0.29 |
Management Efficiency
Guess Inc has Return on Asset of 0.0669 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0669 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.3199 %, implying that it generated $0.3199 on every 100 dollars invested. Guess' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Guess manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is likely to gain to 0.16 in 2024. Return On Capital Employed is likely to gain to 0.35 in 2024. At this time, Guess' Asset Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year.Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Book Value Per Share | 12.84 | 9.34 | |
Net Current Asset Value | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
Tangible Asset Value | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
Tangible Book Value Per Share | 13.15 | 8.43 | |
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 6.21 | 8.03 | |
Price Book Value Ratio | 1.78 | 3.40 | |
Enterprise Value Multiple | 6.21 | 8.03 | |
Price Fair Value | 1.78 | 3.40 | |
Enterprise Value | 918.5 M | 1.1 B |
The analysis of Guess' management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Guess' future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Guess Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Dividend Yield 0.0436 | Forward Dividend Yield 0.0436 | Forward Dividend Rate 1.2 | Beta 1.999 |
Technical Drivers
As of the 18th of April 2024, Guess retains the Downside Deviation of 2.27, market risk adjusted performance of 0.1981, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0787. Guess technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices. Simply put, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical price patterns, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to analyze and collect data for nineteen technical drivers for Guess Inc, which can be compared to its competitors. Please check out Guess Inc variance, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and skewness to decide if Guess is priced fairly, providing market reflects its last-minute price of 25.51 per share. Given that Guess Inc has jensen alpha of 0.2723, we strongly advise you to confirm Guess Inc's regular market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.Guess Inc Price Movement Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-three with a total number of output elements of thirty-eight. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Guess middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Guess Inc. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.
Guess Inc Insider Trading Activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Guess insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Guess' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Guess insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Maurice Marciano over a week ago Acquisition by Maurice Marciano of 54292 shares of Guess subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Carlos Alberini over a week ago Disposition of 211797 shares by Carlos Alberini of Guess at 30.32 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Fabrice Benarouche over two weeks ago Acquisition by Fabrice Benarouche of 300 shares of Guess subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Paul Marciano over a month ago Disposition of 35000 shares by Paul Marciano of Guess subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Deborah Weinswig over six months ago Sale by Deborah Weinswig of 6896 shares of Guess | ||
Dennis Secor over six months ago Sale by Dennis Secor of 12000 shares of Guess | ||
Deborah Weinswig over six months ago Sale by Deborah Weinswig of 20000 shares of Guess | ||
Deborah Weinswig over six months ago Acquisition by Deborah Weinswig of 9873 shares of Guess subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Guess Predictive Daily Indicators
Guess intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Guess stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Guess Corporate Filings
8K | 11th of April 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
F4 | 9th of April 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 8th of April 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
8K | 3rd of April 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
F3 | 2nd of April 2024 An amendment to the original Schedule 13D filing | ViewVerify |
8K | 1st of April 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
8K | 20th of March 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
8K | 16th of February 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
Guess Forecast Models
Guess' time-series forecasting models are one of many Guess' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Guess' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.About Guess Stock Analysis
Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Guess prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Guess shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Guess. By using and applying Guess Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Guess entry and exit points for their positions.
Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Pretax Profit Margin | 0.09 | 0.17 | |
Operating Profit Margin | 0.1 | 0.16 | |
Net Profit Margin | 0.07 | 0.10 | |
Gross Profit Margin | 0.44 | 0.44 |
Current Guess Analysis - Recommendations
We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Guess analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Guess analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
27.3 | Buy | 7 | Odds |
Most Guess analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Guess stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Guess Inc, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Guess conference calls.
Guess Stock Analysis Indicators
Guess Inc stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Guess stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Guess shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Guess stock analysis, traders can identify Guess position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow | 275.8 M | |
Total Stockholder Equity | 684.9 M | |
Capital Lease Obligations | 708.8 M | |
Property Plant And Equipment Net | 913.7 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 360.3 M | |
Cash | 360.3 M | |
50 Day M A | 26.6002 | |
Net Interest Income | -9.7 M | |
Total Current Liabilities | 791.6 M | |
Forward Price Earnings | 9.7276 | |
Investments | -75.1 M | |
Interest Expense | 21.8 M | |
Stock Based Compensation | 20.2 M | |
Long Term Debt | 364.9 M | |
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 69.8 M | |
Tax Provision | 25.4 M | |
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | 0.295 | |
Other Current Assets | 84.1 M | |
Accounts Payable | 272.8 M | |
Net Debt | 802.3 M | |
Other Operating Expenses | 2.5 B | |
Non Current Assets Total | 1.4 B | |
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity | 2.6 B | |
Non Currrent Assets Other | 228.9 M |
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Guess Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income. Note that the Guess Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Guess' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Guess Stock analysis
When running Guess' price analysis, check to measure Guess' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guess is operating at the current time. Most of Guess' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guess' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guess' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guess to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Guess' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Guess. If investors know Guess will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Guess listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.295 | Dividend Share 1.125 | Earnings Share 3.09 | Revenue Per Share 52.064 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.09 |
The market value of Guess Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Guess that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Guess' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Guess' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Guess' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Guess' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Guess' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Guess is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Guess' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.