Use Guess Inc. performance concurrently with your other holdings to enhance returns of your portfolios and to back test it against optimization strategy that fits your risk preferences.
If you would invest 2,921 in Guess Inc. on April 26, 2012 and sell it today you would lose (210.00) from holding Guess Inc. or give up 7.19% of portfolio value over 30 days. Guess Inc. is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 2.54% on return distribution over 30 days investment horizon. In other words, 42% of equities are less volatile than the company and above 99% of equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 30 days.
Daily Expected Return (%)
Risk [Daily Volatility] (%)
Considering 30-days investment horizon, Guess Inc. is expected to generate about the same return on investment as the market.However, the company is 3.48 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The NYSE is currently generating roughly -0.47 per unit of risk.
Guess Operating Margin
Based on recorded statements Guess Inc. has Operating Margin of 14.44%. This is 409.87% lower than that of Services sector, and 301.11% higher than that of Apparel Stores industry, The Operating Margin for all stocks is 381.48% lower than the firm.
A good Operating Margin is required for a company to be able to pay for its fixed costs or pay out its debt which implies that the higher the margin, the better. This ratio is most effective in evaluating the earning potential of a company over time when comparing it against firm's competitors.
Over the last 30 days Guess Inc. has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions.
1 Month Effecincy (a.k Sharpe Ratio) ...
-0.14
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GES
Estimated Market Risk
2.54
actual daily
58 %
of total potential
Expected Return
-0.34
actual daily
1 %
of total potential
Risk-Adjusted Return
-0.14
actual daily
1 %
of total potential
Based on monthly moving average Guess is performing at about 0% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Guess by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.
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