Galapagos Nv Adr Stock Price Prediction
| GLPG Stock | USD 29.45 0.38 1.31% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
23
Oversold | Overbought |
Galapagos NV ADR stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Galapagos shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Galapagos' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Galapagos and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Galapagos' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Galapagos NV ADR, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Galapagos' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.19 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (1.01) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.05) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.28) | Wall Street Target Price 42.03 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Galapagos based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Galapagos stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Galapagos over a specific investment horizon. Using Galapagos hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Galapagos NV ADR from the perspective of Galapagos response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Galapagos using Galapagos' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Galapagos using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Galapagos' stock price.
Galapagos Implied Volatility | 48.26 |
Galapagos' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Galapagos NV ADR stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Galapagos' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Galapagos stock will not fluctuate a lot when Galapagos' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Galapagos. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Galapagos to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Galapagos because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Galapagos after-hype prediction price | USD 29.45 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Galapagos contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Galapagos NV ADR will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.02% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With Galapagos trading at USD 29.45, that is roughly USD 0.89 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Galapagos' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Galapagos NV ADR options at the current volatility level of 48.26%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Galapagos |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Galapagos' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Galapagos After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Galapagos at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Galapagos or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Galapagos, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Galapagos Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Galapagos' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Galapagos' historical news coverage. Galapagos' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.88 and 31.02, respectively. We have considered Galapagos' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Galapagos is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Galapagos NV ADR is based on 3 months time horizon.
Galapagos Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Galapagos is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Galapagos backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Galapagos, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.44 | 1.57 | 0.01 | 0.11 | 25 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 25 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
29.45 | 29.45 | 0.00 |
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Galapagos Hype Timeline
Galapagos NV ADR is currently traded for 29.45. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.11. Galapagos is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.44%. %. The volatility of related hype on Galapagos is about 654.17%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.34. About 31.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.66. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Galapagos NV ADR recorded a loss per share of 0.06. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 25 days. Check out Galapagos Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Galapagos Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Galapagos' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Galapagos' future price movements. Getting to know how Galapagos' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Galapagos may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TERN | Terns Pharmaceuticals | (0.75) | 8 per month | 5.23 | (0.01) | 8.64 | (8.38) | 27.76 | |
| AMLX | Amylyx Pharmaceuticals | 0.04 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 6.96 | (8.30) | 103.39 | |
| ABOS | Acumen Pharmaceuticals | 0.1 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 7.28 | (5.98) | 23.58 | |
| INZY | Inozyme PharmaInc | (0.35) | 8 per month | 4.39 | (0.0005) | 8.83 | (8.42) | 25.32 |
Galapagos Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Galapagos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Galapagos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Galapagos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Galapagos Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Galapagos stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Galapagos NV ADR, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Galapagos based on analysis of Galapagos hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Galapagos's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Galapagos's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 96.81 | 55.87 | 99.97 | 130.37 | PTB Ratio | 1.21 | 1.08 | 0.87 | 0.82 |
Story Coverage note for Galapagos
The number of cover stories for Galapagos depends on current market conditions and Galapagos' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Galapagos is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Galapagos' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Galapagos Short Properties
Galapagos' future price predictability will typically decrease when Galapagos' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Galapagos NV ADR often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Galapagos' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Galapagos' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 65.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.7 B |
Check out Galapagos Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Galapagos Stock analysis
When running Galapagos' price analysis, check to measure Galapagos' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Galapagos is operating at the current time. Most of Galapagos' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Galapagos' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Galapagos' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Galapagos to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Galapagos' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Galapagos. If investors know Galapagos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Galapagos listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.19 | Earnings Share (0.06) | Revenue Per Share 0.182 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.12) | Return On Assets (0.01) |
The market value of Galapagos NV ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Galapagos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Galapagos' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Galapagos' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Galapagos' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Galapagos' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Galapagos' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Galapagos is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Galapagos' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.