Gome Retail Holdings Stock Price Prediction

GMELF Stock  USD 0.01  0.00  0.00%   
As of 29th of March 2024 the relative strength index (rsi) of GOME Retail's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Oversold Vs Overbought

0

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
GOME Retail Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of GOME Retail shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of GOME Retail's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of GOME Retail and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from GOME Retail's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with GOME Retail Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether pink sheet price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of GOME Retail based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The GOME stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on GOME Retail over a specific investment horizon. Using GOME Retail hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GOME Retail Holdings from the perspective of GOME Retail response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in GOME Retail. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in GOME Retail to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying GOME because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

GOME Retail after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.006695  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out GOME Retail Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GOME Retail's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.0000.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00010.010.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.010.01
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GOME Retail. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GOME Retail's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GOME Retail's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in GOME Retail Holdings.

GOME Retail After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of GOME Retail at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GOME Retail or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of GOME Retail, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

GOME Retail Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting GOME Retail's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GOME Retail's historical news coverage. GOME Retail's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.73, respectively. We have considered GOME Retail's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.01
0.01
After-hype Price
0.73
Upside
GOME Retail is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GOME Retail Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

GOME Retail Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GOME Retail is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GOME Retail backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GOME Retail, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
0.72
 0.00  
  0.05 
0 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.01
0.01
33.89 
0.00  
Notes

GOME Retail Hype Timeline

GOME Retail Holdings is currently traded for 0.01. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.05. GOME is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.006695 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price rise on the next news is estimated to be 33.89%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.09%. The volatility of related hype on GOME Retail is about 119.15%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.06. The company has accumulated 6.14 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.24, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. GOME Retail Holdings has a current ratio of 0.49, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist GOME Retail until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, GOME Retail's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like GOME Retail Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for GOME to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about GOME Retail's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be in a few days.
Check out GOME Retail Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

GOME Retail Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to GOME Retail's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GOME Retail's future price movements. Getting to know how GOME Retail rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GOME Retail may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

GOME Retail Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine GOME price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GOME using various technical indicators. When you analyze GOME charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About GOME Retail Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of GOME Retail stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as GOME Retail Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of GOME Retail based on analysis of GOME Retail hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to GOME Retail's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to GOME Retail's related companies.

Story Coverage note for GOME Retail

The number of cover stories for GOME Retail depends on current market conditions and GOME Retail's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GOME Retail is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GOME Retail's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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GOME Retail Short Properties

GOME Retail's future price predictability will typically decrease when GOME Retail's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of GOME Retail Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential GOME Retail's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GOME Retail's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding33.8 B
Check out GOME Retail Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

Complementary Tools for GOME Pink Sheet analysis

When running GOME Retail's price analysis, check to measure GOME Retail's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GOME Retail is operating at the current time. Most of GOME Retail's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GOME Retail's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GOME Retail's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GOME Retail to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between GOME Retail's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GOME Retail is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GOME Retail's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.