Alphabet Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

GOOG -- USA Stock  

USD 1,189  6.47  0.55%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Alphabet which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Alphabet hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Alphabet from the prospective of Alphabet response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Alphabet over a specific investment horizon. Please also check Alphabet Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Alphabet After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Alphabet Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

August 21, 2019
1,189
Current Value
1,187
After-hype Price
1,193
Upside
Alphabet is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Alphabet is based on 2 months time horizon.

Alphabet Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.18% 2.07% 4.75%  0.44% 6 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1,1891,1870.36%
7.85% 

Alphabet Hype Timeline

Alphabet is currently traded for1,189. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 4.75 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.44. Alphabet is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 1186.91. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 7.85%. The price appreciation on the next news is anticipated to be 0.36% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Alphabet is about 85.36% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 1189.6. The company reported previous year revenue of 148.3B. Net Income was 34.74B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 77.27B. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 6 days.
Please also check Alphabet Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Alphabet Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Computer Sciences Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15)  0.00  0.00  85.89 
Workday(2.23) 7 per month 0.00 (0.17)  3.01 (3.36)  7.92 
Sabre Corporation 0.45 8 per month 0.81  0.10  2.54 (1.16)  6.79 
CA 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  36.48 (26.73)  81.99 
Vmware(0.48) 8 per month 0.00 (0.18)  1.91 (4.25)  11.26 
Xunlei Limited American Depos(0.03) 3 per month 0.00  0.0062  6.84 (8.09)  36.19 
Teradata Corporation 0.30 6 per month 0.00 (0.06)  2.45 (4.15)  11.62 
Alphabet 26.37 6 per month 1.35  0.1  1.92 (2.61)  13.94 
ATT 0.45 9 per month 0.91  0.19  1.71 (2.01)  5.79 
Unisys Corporation New(0.58) 9 per month 0.00 (0.09)  3.73 (6.96)  25.19 
Please also check Alphabet Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
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