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Google risk analysis

 
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Google Inc

Stock@NASDAQ 
United States USD
     
Use Google Inc risk analysis concurrently with your other holdings, portfolios, and investing themes to enhance returns of your portfolios and to back test it against optimization strategy that fits your risk preferences.  Analyze Themes
Investment horizon: 
  30 Days    Login   to change

Projected Return Density against Market

Given investment horizon of 30 days, the stock has beta cooficient of 1.5 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, Google will likely underperform. In addition to that, Google Inc has alpha of 1.5 implying that it can potentially generate 1.5% excess return over S&P 500 after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
Predicted Return Density
 
Returns   
S&P 500   Google   
Given investment horizon of 30 days, the coefficient of variation of Google is 177.37. The daily returns are destributed with a variance of 1.97 and standard deviation of 1.4. The mean deviation of Google Inc is currently at 1.08. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (S&P 500) has volatility of 0.55
alpha for Google Inc(alpha)= 1.50 
beta for Google Inc(beta) = 1.50 
volatility for Google Inc(volatility) = 1.40 

Actual Return Volatility

Google Inc inherits 1.4% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 30 days horizon. S&P 500 shows 0.55% volatility of returns over 30 trading days.
Daily Returns (%)
Market   Equity   
 
    
April 18 2013
 785 
  
 766 
(19.44)  Macroaxis: -2.475329470936532 Down   2.48%  
Lowest period price (30 days)
May 15 2013
 896 
  
 916 
20.39  Macroaxis: 2.2769402568397528 Up   2.28%  
Highest period price (30 days)
    
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Google Inc has a volatility of 1.4 and is 2.55 times more volatile than S&P 500. 18% of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Google. Compared with the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Google Inc is lower than 18 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 30 days. Use Google Inc to enhance returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences moderate upward volatility. As market goes up, the company is expected to significantly outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Google will likely underperform.

Google correlation with market

Very weak diversification
Overlapping area represents amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Google Inc. and equity matching GSPC index in the same portfolio

Google Current Risk Indicators

Risk Adjusted Performance0.3148
Market Risk Adjusted Performance0.5312
Mean Deviation1.08
Downside Deviation0.7711
Coefficient Of Variation177.37
Standard Deviation1.4
Variance1.97

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