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GOOG FB BIDU YHOO 
Benchmark  United States  NYSE  10,990   34.493 Index Moved Down -0.31%  


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Google risk analysis

   

Google Inc

Stock@NASDAQ 
United States USD
  
4.56 times
   
We consider Google not too risky. Google Inc holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.1362 which attests that Google Inc had 0.1362% of return per unit of risk over the last 1 month. Our philosophy towards determining volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with company specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Google Inc which you can use to evaluate future volatility of the corporation. Please check out Google Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.206 and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0491 to validate if risk estimate we provide are consistent with the epected return of 0.1056%.
change horizon
Investment horizon:  
  30 Days    Login   to change

Projected Return Density against Market

Given the investment horizon of 30 days, Google has beta of 0.4187 . This indicates as returns on market go up, Google average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Google Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover, Google Inc has an alpha of 0.079 implying that it can potentially generate 0.079% excess return over NYSE after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
Predicted Return Density
 
Embed  
Returns:   
NYSE   Google   
Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the coefficient of variation of Google is 734.14. The daily returns are destributed with a variance of 0.6 and standard deviation of 0.77. The mean deviation of Google Inc is currently at 0.65. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE) has volatility of 0.36
αAlpha over NYSE= 0.08 
βBeta against NYSE= 0.42 
σOverall volatility= 0.77 
 iInformation ratio = 0.10 

Actual Return Volatility

Google Inc inherits 0.7749% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 30 days horizon. NYSE inherits 0.365% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 30 days horizon.
Daily Returns (%)
Market   Equity   
 
Change Benchmark  Embed   Timeline 

30 Days Market Risk

Not too risky

Chance of Distress in 24 months

Almost imposible

30 Days Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes market

Largest Period Trend Change

August 28, 2014
 570 
  
 569 
0.360.06%
Lowest period price (30 days)
September 19, 2014
 592 
  
 596 
4.580.77%
Highest period price (30 days)
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Google Inc has a volatility of 0.77 and is 2.08 times more volatile than NYSE. 7% of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Google. Compared with the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Google Inc is lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 30 days. Use Google Inc to enhance returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences large bullish trend. Check odds of Google to be traded at $655.69 in 30 days. As returns on market increase, Google returns are expected to increase less than the market. However during bear market, the loss on holding Google will be expected to be smaller as well.

Google correlation with market

Modest diversification
Overlapping area represents amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Google Inc. and equity matching NYA index in the same portfolio

Google Current Risk Indicators

Risk Adjusted Performance0.0491
Market Risk Adjusted Performance0.206
Mean Deviation0.6315
Semi Deviation0.0
Downside Deviation0.0
Coefficient Of Variation824.46
Standard Deviation0.7589

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