Global Payments Stock Price Prediction
| GPN Stock | USD 122.95 0.48 0.39% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
37
Oversold | Overbought |
Global Payments stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Global Payments shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Global Payments' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Global Payments and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Global Payments' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Global Payments, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Global Payments' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.494 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.61 | EPS Estimate Current Year 11.59 | EPS Estimate Next Year 13.16 | Wall Street Target Price 156.95 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Global Payments based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Global stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Global Payments over a specific investment horizon. Using Global Payments hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Global Payments from the perspective of Global Payments response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Global Payments using Global Payments' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Global using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Global Payments' stock price.
Global Payments Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Global Payments' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Global. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Global Payments stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Global Payments may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Global Payments and may potentially protect profits, hedge Global Payments with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 122.3367 | Short Percent 0.0264 | Short Ratio 2.61 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.8 M | 50 Day MA 131.256 |
Global Payments Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Global Payments' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Global. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Global can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Global Payments. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Global Payments' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Global Payments.
Global Payments Implied Volatility | 69.81 |
Global Payments' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Global Payments stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Global Payments' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Global Payments stock will not fluctuate a lot when Global Payments' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Global Payments. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Global Payments to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Global because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Global Payments after-hype prediction price | USD 122.77 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Global contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Global Payments will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 4.36% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Global Payments trading at USD 122.95, that is roughly USD 5.36 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Global Payments' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Global Payments options at the current volatility level of 69.81%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Global |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Global Payments' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Global Payments After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Global Payments at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Global Payments or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Global Payments, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Global Payments Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Global Payments' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Global Payments' historical news coverage. Global Payments' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 121.51 and 124.03, respectively. We have considered Global Payments' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Global Payments is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Global Payments is based on 3 months time horizon.
Global Payments Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Global Payments is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Global Payments backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Global Payments, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.26 | 0.18 | 0.03 | 8 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
122.95 | 122.77 | 0.15 |
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Global Payments Hype Timeline
On the 18th of April 2024 Global Payments is traded for 122.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.18, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Global is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 122.77. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 48.84%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Global Payments is about 272.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 122.98. About 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.37. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Global Payments has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.65. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of March 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 3rd of November 2015. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Global Payments Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Global Payments Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Global Payments' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Global Payments' future price movements. Getting to know how Global Payments' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Global Payments may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CPRT | Copart Inc | (0.06) | 9 per month | 1.01 | 0.12 | 1.92 | (1.86) | 6.83 | |
| ABM | ABM Industries Incorporated | 0.34 | 10 per month | 1.31 | 0.01 | 2.10 | (2.32) | 9.58 | |
| TRI | Thomson Reuters Corp | (2.19) | 9 per month | 0.86 | 0.03 | 1.78 | (1.40) | 7.15 | |
| ARMK | Aramark Holdings | 0.93 | 12 per month | 1.03 | 0.06 | 2.17 | (2.08) | 6.45 | |
| MMS | Maximus | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.40 | (1.92) | 7.92 | |
| AZZ | AZZ Incorporated | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.25 | 0.19 | 3.60 | (2.52) | 10.90 | |
| CASS | Cass Information Systems | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.70 | 0.05 | 2.87 | (2.35) | 16.34 | |
| CBZ | CBIZ Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.41 | 0.11 | 2.18 | (2.96) | 11.93 | |
| KMX | CarMax Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.89 | (0.02) | 3.21 | (3.53) | 13.28 | |
| CTAS | Cintas | 5.60 | 11 per month | 0.50 | 0.11 | 1.36 | (1.00) | 10.36 |
Global Payments Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Global price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Global using various technical indicators. When you analyze Global charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Global Payments Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Global Payments stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Global Payments, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Global Payments based on analysis of Global Payments hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Global Payments's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Global Payments's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.006565 | 0.01 | 0.007853 | 0.008246 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.64 | 3.05 | 3.44 | 2.61 |
Story Coverage note for Global Payments
The number of cover stories for Global Payments depends on current market conditions and Global Payments' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Global Payments is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Global Payments' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Global Payments Short Properties
Global Payments' future price predictability will typically decrease when Global Payments' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Global Payments often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Global Payments' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Global Payments' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 261.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.1 B |
Check out Global Payments Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Global Stock, please use our How to Invest in Global Payments guide.You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Complementary Tools for Global Stock analysis
When running Global Payments' price analysis, check to measure Global Payments' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Global Payments is operating at the current time. Most of Global Payments' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Global Payments' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Global Payments' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Global Payments to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Global Payments' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Global Payments. If investors know Global will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Global Payments listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.494 | Dividend Share 1 | Earnings Share 3.76 | Revenue Per Share 36.972 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.08 |
The market value of Global Payments is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Global that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Global Payments' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Global Payments' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Global Payments' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Global Payments' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Global Payments' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Global Payments is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Global Payments' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.