Groupon Stock Performance

GRPN Stock  USD 13.34  0.52  4.06%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Groupon holds a performance score of 4. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 3.38, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Groupon will likely underperform. Please check Groupon's maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the expected short fall and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Groupon's current trending patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

4 of 100

 
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Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Groupon are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very weak basic indicators, Groupon displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
4.06
Five Day Return
(10.65)
Year To Date Return
9.43
Ten Year Return
(91.49)
All Time Return
(97.45)
Last Split Factor
1:20
Dividend Date
2020-06-11
Last Split Date
2020-06-11
1
Exercise or conversion by Rich Williams of 140427 shares of Groupon subject to Rule 16b-3
01/12/2024
2
Acquisition by Ann Ziegler of 5595 shares of Groupon subject to Rule 16b-3
01/19/2024
3
Groupon Stock Rating Lowered by StockNews.com
02/01/2024
4
Groupon Announces Date for Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2023 Financial Results
02/28/2024
5
Groupon Options Trading A Deep Dive into Market Sentiment
03/04/2024
6
Got 20 Buy This Korean E-commerce Stock Before Its Too Late
03/07/2024
7
Groupon Shares Down 8.5
03/11/2024
8
Solo Brands, Inc. Q4 Earnings and Revenues Miss Estimates
03/14/2024
9
Groupon Reports Fourth Quarter Full Year 2023 Results
03/15/2024
10
Groupon Trading Down 4.6 percent - MarketBeat
03/20/2024
11
Propel Media Groupon Financial Contrast - Defense World
03/25/2024
Begin Period Cash Flow281.7 M
  

Groupon Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,219  in Groupon on December 30, 2023 and sell it today you would earn a total of  115.00  from holding Groupon or generate 9.43% return on investment over 90 days. Groupon is currently generating 0.3352% in daily expected returns and assumes 5.8467% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 51% of stocks are less volatile than Groupon, and 94% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Groupon is expected to generate 10.2 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 10.2 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The NYSE Composite is currently generating roughly 0.24 per unit of risk.

Groupon Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Groupon's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Groupon, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Groupon's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.0573

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Estimated Market Risk

 5.85
  actual daily
51
51% of assets are less volatile

Expected Return

 0.34
  actual daily
6
94% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.06
  actual daily
4
96% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Groupon is performing at about 4% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Groupon by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Groupon Fundamentals Growth

Groupon Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Groupon, and Groupon fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Groupon Stock performance.

About Groupon Performance

To evaluate Groupon Stock as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when Groupon generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare Groupon Stock's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand Groupon market performance in a much more refined way. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents Groupon's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for 2024
Return On Capital Employed(0.05)(0.05)
Return On Assets(0.1)(0.10)
Return On Equity 1.36  1.43 

Things to note about Groupon performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Groupon for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Groupon help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Groupon had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Groupon has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company currently holds 278.75 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 3.99, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Groupon has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Groupon until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Groupon's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Groupon sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Groupon to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Groupon's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 514.91 M. Net Loss for the year was (55.41 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 522.82 M.
Groupon currently holds about 308 M in cash with (78.54 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.12.
Over 81.0% of Groupon shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Propel Media Groupon Financial Contrast - Defense World
Evaluating Groupon's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Groupon's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Groupon's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Groupon's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Groupon's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Groupon's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Groupon's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Groupon's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Groupon's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Groupon's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Groupon's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Groupon offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Groupon's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Groupon Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Groupon Stock:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Groupon. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
To learn how to invest in Groupon Stock, please use our How to Invest in Groupon guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

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When running Groupon's price analysis, check to measure Groupon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Groupon is operating at the current time. Most of Groupon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Groupon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Groupon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Groupon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Groupon's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Groupon. If investors know Groupon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Groupon listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.092
Earnings Share
(1.77)
Revenue Per Share
16.481
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
Return On Assets
(0.01)
The market value of Groupon is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Groupon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Groupon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Groupon's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Groupon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Groupon's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Groupon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Groupon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Groupon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.