Groupon Valuation

GRPN Stock  USD 9.71  0.06  0.61%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Groupon retains a regular Real Value of $9.32 per share. The prevalent price of the firm is $9.71. Our model calculates the value of Groupon from evaluating the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 518.25 M, return on asset of -0.0094, and Return On Equity of -5.67 as well as inspecting its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. In general, most investors encourage obtaining undervalued assets and abandoning overvalued assets since, at some point, asset prices and their ongoing real values will come together. Key fundamental drivers impacting Groupon's valuation include:
Price Book
1.8955
Enterprise Value
518.2 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
23.0062
Price Sales
0.7848
Forward PE
14.0056
Overvalued
Today
9.71
Please note that Groupon's price fluctuation is slightly risky at this time. Calculation of the real value of Groupon is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Groupon's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Our valuation method for Groupon is useful when determining the fair value of the Groupon stock, which is usually determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Groupon. Since Groupon is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Groupon Stock. However, Groupon's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  9.71 Real  9.32 Target  13.75 Hype  9.71 Naive  10.03
The real value of Groupon Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Groupon Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Groupon's financial performance, assets, liabilities, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Groupon's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Groupon's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
9.32
Real Value
15.21
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Groupon helps investors to forecast how Groupon stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Groupon more accurately as focusing exclusively on Groupon's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.050.050.05
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.829.7115.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
4.1410.0315.92
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
12.5113.7515.26
Details
Traditionally analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Groupon's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Groupon's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Groupon's closest peers. When choosing an evaluation method for Groupon, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Groupon Investments

(22.08 Million)

Groupon Valuation Trend

Knowing Groupon's actual value is paramount for traders to make sound investment determinations. Groupon's real value is not only important for the investor to make better decisions but also for a more accurate overall view of Groupon's financial worth over time since having this information enables investors and analysts to forecast the earnings more efficiently. Using both Groupon's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to gauging the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing descisions.

Groupon Market Cap

Groupon is rated # 5 in market capitalization category among related companies. Market capitalization of Consumer Discretionary industry is currently estimated at about 6.11 Billion. Groupon holds roughly 378.4 Million in market capitalization claiming about 6% of stocks in Consumer Discretionary industry.
Capitalization  Revenue  Total debt  Valuation  Workforce

Groupon Valuation Ratios as Compared to Competition

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining Groupon's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Groupon value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth. You can analyze the relationship between different fundamental ratios across Groupon competition to find correlations between indicators driving Groupon's intrinsic value. More Info.
Groupon is rated below average in price to earning category among related companies. It is rated # 4 in price to book category among related companies fabricating about  0.48  of Price To Book per Price To Earning. The ratio of Price To Earning to Price To Book for Groupon is roughly  2.08 . As of the 19th of April 2024, Price To Book Ratio is likely to grow to -9.38. Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all model that can be used if you cannot value Groupon by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. This model doesn't attempt to find an intrinsic value for Groupon's Stock. Still, instead, it compares the stock's price multiples to a benchmark or nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued. The reason why the comparable model can be used in almost all circumstances is due to the vast number of multiples that can be utilized, such as the price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-book (P/B), price-to-sales (P/S), price-to-cash flow (P/CF), and many others. The P/E ratio is the most commonly used of these ratios because it focuses on the Groupon's earnings, one of the primary drivers of an investment's value.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Groupon's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Groupon and how it compares across the competition.

About Groupon Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines the current worth of Groupon on a weekly basis. We use both absolute as well as relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Groupon. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Groupon based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Groupon's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and its related drivers such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Groupon's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Groupon. We calculate exposure to Groupon's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Groupon's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit432.3 M815.1 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.08)(0.09)
Operating Profit Margin(0.02)(0.02)
Net Loss(0.11)(0.11)
Gross Profit Margin 0.84  0.48 

8 Steps to conduct Groupon's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Groupon's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Groupon's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Groupon's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Groupon's revenue streams: Identify Groupon's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Groupon's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Groupon's growth potential: Evaluate Groupon's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Groupon's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Groupon's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Groupon Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines. Note, investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Groupon does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding31.2 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y1.092
Forward Price Earnings14.0056

Groupon Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Groupon and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Groupon we look at many different elements of the entity such as Groupon's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation. Groupon's valuation analysis is also a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Groupon's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Groupon, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Groupon's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Groupon's worth.
When determining whether Groupon offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Groupon's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Groupon Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Groupon Stock:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Groupon. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
To learn how to invest in Groupon Stock, please use our How to Invest in Groupon guide.
You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.

Complementary Tools for Groupon Stock analysis

When running Groupon's price analysis, check to measure Groupon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Groupon is operating at the current time. Most of Groupon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Groupon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Groupon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Groupon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Groupon's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Groupon. If investors know Groupon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Groupon listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.092
Earnings Share
(1.77)
Revenue Per Share
16.481
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
Return On Assets
(0.01)
The market value of Groupon is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Groupon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Groupon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Groupon's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Groupon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Groupon's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Groupon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Groupon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Groupon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.