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GlaxoSmithKline Stock Price Prediction

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GSK -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: March 31, 2020  

GlaxoSmithKline PLC Accounts Payable Turnover is decreasing as compared to previous years. The last year's value of Accounts Payable Turnover was reported at 9.88. The current Accrued Expenses Turnover is estimated to increase to 5.47, while Inventory Turnover is estimated to decrease to 2.10. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with GlaxoSmithKline PLC, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Using GlaxoSmithKline PLC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GlaxoSmithKline PLC from the perspective of GlaxoSmithKline PLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The GlaxoSmithKline stock price prediction module also provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on GlaxoSmithKline PLC over a specific investment horizon. Please check GlaxoSmithKline PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
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GlaxoSmithKline PLC After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
    
  Expected price to next headline 

GlaxoSmithKline PLC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
41.90
February 26, 2020
41.90
After-hype Price
45.05
Upside
GlaxoSmithKline PLC is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GlaxoSmithKline PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.

GlaxoSmithKline PLC Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.13  1.03  0.02   0.05  11 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
41.9041.900.05 
643.75  

GlaxoSmithKline PLC Hype Timeline

On the 26th of February GlaxoSmithKline PLC is traded for 41.90. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. GlaxoSmithKline PLC is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 41.9. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 643.75%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.05% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.13%. The volatility of related hype on GlaxoSmithKline PLC is about 250.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 41.95. The company last dividend was issued on 2020-02-20. GlaxoSmithKline PLC had 2:1 split on 1991-11-12. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 11 days.
Please check GlaxoSmithKline PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

GlaxoSmithKline PLC Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Allergan Plc 1.77 10 per month 0.63  0.16  0.96 (1.08)  3.57 
Astrazeneca PLC(0.48) 9 per month 0.00  0.0204  1.96 (1.83)  11.05 
Bristol Myers Squibb Company 0.1 10 per month 1.12  0.14  2.22 (1.50)  6.54 
GlaxoSmithKline PLC(0.16) 11 per month 0.00 (0.0479)  1.43 (1.68)  6.31 
Johnson Johnson 2.27 8 per month 0.54  0.18  1.25 (0.99)  4.30 
Eli Lilly And Company 2.57 9 per month 0.77  0.27  2.02 (1.52)  6.05 
Merck Company(0.19) 9 per month 0.00 (0.05)  1.77 (2.35)  5.09 
Novartis AG(1.13) 9 per month 0.00 (0.0011)  1.09 (1.25)  8.87 
Pfizer(0.03) 9 per month 0.00 (0.08)  1.56 (2.15)  7.14 
Gilead Sciences(0.60) 10 per month 1.14  0.09  3.55 (2.27)  7.33 

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Latest Perspective on GlaxoSmithKline PLC

Please check GlaxoSmithKline PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Bollinger Bands module to use bollinger bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
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