Home Depot Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

HD -- USA Stock  

USD 200.69  1.61  0.81%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Home Depot headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with The Home Depot brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Home Depot hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of The Home Depot from the prospective of Home Depot response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Home Depot over a specific investment horizon. Please also check Home Depot Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Home Depot After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Home Depot Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

June 21, 2018
200.69
Current Value
Downside
197.10
199.59
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
202.08
Upside
Home Depot is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of The Home Depot is based on 1 month time horizon.

Home Depot Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.30% 0.75% 0.70%  0.13% 7 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
200.69199.590.26%
32.05% 

Home Depot Hype Timeline

As of June 21, 2018 The Home Depot is listed for 200.69. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.7 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.13. The Home Depot is suggested to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 199.59. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 32.05%. The price increase on the next news is estimated to be 0.26% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.3%. The volatility of related hype on Home Depot is about 171.62% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 200.82. The company generated yearly revenue of 101.96 B. Reported Net Income was 9.02 B with gross profit of 34.36 B. Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, the next suggested press release will be in about 7 days.
Please also check Home Depot Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Home Depot Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Macys(0.03) 4 per month 1.75  0.22  4.33 (4.00)  11.95 
Dollar General Corporation(1.00) 5 per month 3.15  0.0276  2.03 (0.86)  10.02 
The Home Depot 2.34 7 per month 0.44  0.27  1.33 (0.99)  2.88 
Dollar Tree 1.26 4 per month 0.00 (0.09)  2.14 (1.64)  15.81 
Vipshop Holdings Limited(0.07) 5 per month 0.00 (0.14)  2.40 (1.89)  6.14 
Aarons 1.06 6 per month 0.00  0.33  2.29 (2.00)  4.52 
Best Buy Co 1.19 6 per month 0.00 (0.05)  2.72 (3.61)  7.29 
Big Lots 0.26 6 per month 0.00 (0.0262)  4.42 (3.35)  8.49 
Barnes Noble 0.05 4 per month 0.00  0.34  3.85 (2.73)  12.75 
Fossil Group(0.69) 4 per month 0.00  0.61  8.32 (1.82)  12.53 
Investors are also interested in
Purchased over 100 shares
Active over a week ago
Please also check Home Depot Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.