Home Depot Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

HD -- USA Stock  

USD 173.87  0.34  0.20%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with The Home Depot which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Home Depot hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of The Home Depot from the prospective of Home Depot response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Home Depot over a specific investment horizon. Please also check Home Depot Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Home Depot After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Home Depot Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

December 13, 2018
173.87
Current Value
169.23
Downside
174.57
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
179.91
Upside
Home Depot is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Home Depot is based on 2 months time horizon.

Home Depot Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.23% 1.78% 0.70%  0.06% 9 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
173.87174.570.40%
58.75% 

Home Depot Hype Timeline

As of December 13, 2018 The Home Depot is listed for 173.87. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.7 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. The Home Depot is suggested to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 174.57. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 58.75%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 0.4% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.23%. The volatility of related hype on Home Depot is about 649.64% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 173.93. The company generated yearly revenue of 105.6B. Reported Net Income was 10.56B with gross profit of 34.36B. Allowing for the 30-days total investment horizon, the next suggested press release will be in about 9 days.
Please also check Home Depot Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Home Depot Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
The Home Depot 3.03 9 per month 0.00 (0.12)  2.60 (3.54)  6.41 
Lumber Liquidators Holdings(0.04) 9 per month 0.00 (0.18)  4.60 (4.17)  14.25 
Floor Decor Holdings(1.51) 8 per month 2.70  0.08  4.69 (5.73)  29.99 
Haverty Furniture Companies 0.36 5 per month 0.00 (0.07)  2.83 (2.76)  9.29 
Lowes Companies 0.32 8 per month 0.00 (0.19)  2.54 (4.26)  8.83 
Ford Motor Company(0.04) 8 per month 0.00 (0.0077)  2.96 (3.40)  14.28 
Hyatt Hotels Corporation(0.12) 6 per month 0.00 (0.07)  3.26 (4.12)  8.31 
Macys 0.41 7 per month 0.00 (0.0089)  4.08 (4.98)  12.30 
Pandora Media 0.24 9 per month 0.00  0.0063  3.26 (3.70)  7.98 
DHX Media Ltd 0.09 7 per month 4.06  0.19  7.56 (7.28)  17.67 

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Please also check Home Depot Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
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