Grupo Herdez (Mexico) Volatility

HERDEZ Stock  MXN 43.66  0.93  2.09%   
Grupo Herdez SAB holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0322, which attests that the entity had -0.0322% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards determining the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Grupo Herdez SAB exposes thirty different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its stock price that cannot be diversified away. Please check out Grupo Herdez's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.005, downside deviation of 1.37, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0087 to validate the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Grupo Herdez's volatility include:
480 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
480 Days Economic Sensitivity
Grupo Herdez Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Grupo daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Grupo's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Grupo Herdez volatility.
  
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Grupo Herdez can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Grupo Herdez at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Grupo stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Grupo Herdez's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

Grupo Herdez Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Grupo Herdez's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Grupo stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire stock market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Grupo stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Grupo Herdez's beta of 0.61 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Grupo Herdez stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios.
Grupo Herdez SAB has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.59 and kurtosis of 0.11. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate Grupo Herdez SAB to ensure all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future expected returns. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Grupo Herdez's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Grupo Herdez's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Grupo Herdez SAB Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Grupo Herdez correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

Grupo Beta

    
  0.61  
Grupo standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. Typical volatile equity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  1.34  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Grupo Herdez's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Grupo Herdez's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in grupo stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Grupo Herdez.

Grupo Herdez SAB Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Grupo Herdez stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Grupo Herdez's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Grupo Herdez's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Grupo Herdez's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Grupo Herdez's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Grupo Herdez's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Grupo Herdez's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Grupo Herdez's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Grupo Herdez SAB Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Grupo Herdez Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Grupo Herdez has a beta of 0.6124 . This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Grupo Herdez average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Grupo Herdez SAB will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Grupo Herdez or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Grupo Herdez's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Grupo stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Grupo Herdez SAB is significantly underperforming NYSE Composite.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Grupo Herdez's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how grupo stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Grupo Herdez Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Grupo Herdez Stock Risk Measures

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Grupo Herdez or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Grupo Herdez's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Grupo stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Grupo Herdez is -3103.78. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 1.8 and standard deviation of 1.34. The mean deviation of Grupo Herdez SAB is currently at 1.09. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.63
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.09
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.61
σ
Overall volatility
1.34
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Grupo Herdez Stock Return Volatility

Grupo Herdez historical daily return volatility represents how much of Grupo Herdez stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company accepts 1.3429% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.5638% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Grupo Herdez Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Grupo Herdez or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Grupo Herdez may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Grupo's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Grupo Herdez and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Grupo Herdez fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Grupo Herdez, S.A.B. de C.V., a food company, engages in the manufacture, purchase, distribution, and marketing of canned and packed food products in Mexico and internationally. Grupo Herdez, S.A.B. de C.V. is a subsidiary of Hechos Con Amor S.A. de C.V. GRUPO HERDEZ operates under Packaged Foods classification in Mexico and is traded on Mexico Stock Exchange. It employs 10722 people.
Grupo Herdez's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Grupo Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Grupo Herdez's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Grupo Herdez's volatility to invest better

Higher Grupo Herdez's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Grupo Herdez SAB stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Grupo Herdez SAB stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Grupo Herdez SAB investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Grupo Herdez's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Grupo Herdez's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Grupo Herdez Investment Opportunity

Grupo Herdez SAB has a volatility of 1.34 and is 2.39 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. 11  of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Grupo Herdez. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Grupo Herdez SAB is lower than 11 () of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Use Grupo Herdez SAB to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. Benchmarks are essential to demonstrate the utility of optimization algorithms. The stock experiences an unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. Check odds of Grupo Herdez to be traded at 41.91 in 90 days.

Modest diversification

The correlation between Grupo Herdez SAB and NYA is 0.27 (i.e., Modest diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Grupo Herdez SAB and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Grupo Herdez Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Grupo Herdez's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Grupo Herdez's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Grupo Herdez stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Grupo Herdez Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Grupo Herdez as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Grupo Herdez's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Grupo Herdez's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Grupo Herdez SAB.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Grupo Herdez SAB. Also, note that the market value of any Company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.
Note that the Grupo Herdez SAB information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Grupo Herdez's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.

Complementary Tools for Grupo Stock analysis

When running Grupo Herdez's price analysis, check to measure Grupo Herdez's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Grupo Herdez is operating at the current time. Most of Grupo Herdez's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Grupo Herdez's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Grupo Herdez's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Grupo Herdez to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
My Watchlist Analysis
Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like
AI Portfolio Architect
Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities
Stock Screener
Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook.
Portfolio Manager
State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital
Balance Of Power
Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios
Please note, there is a significant difference between Grupo Herdez's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Grupo Herdez is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grupo Herdez's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.