Himax Technologies Stock Price Prediction
| HIMX Stock | USD 4.83 0.14 2.82% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
45
Oversold | Overbought |
Himax Technologies stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Himax Technologies shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Himax Technologies' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Himax Technologies and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Himax Technologies' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Himax Technologies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Himax Technologies' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.49) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.07 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.35 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.46 | Wall Street Target Price 6.4 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Himax Technologies based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Himax stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Himax Technologies over a specific investment horizon. Using Himax Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Himax Technologies from the perspective of Himax Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Himax Technologies using Himax Technologies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Himax using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Himax Technologies' stock price.
Himax Technologies Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Himax Technologies' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Himax. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Himax Technologies stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Himax Technologies may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Himax Technologies and may potentially protect profits, hedge Himax Technologies with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 5.9259 | Short Percent 0.0474 | Short Ratio 7.92 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.1 M | 50 Day MA 5.4688 |
Himax Technologies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Himax Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Himax. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Himax can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Himax Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Himax Technologies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Himax Technologies.
Himax Technologies Implied Volatility | 85.79 |
Himax Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Himax Technologies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Himax Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Himax Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Himax Technologies' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Himax Technologies. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Himax Technologies to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Himax because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Himax Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 4.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Himax |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Himax Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Himax Technologies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Himax Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Himax Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Himax Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Himax Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Himax Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Himax Technologies' historical news coverage. Himax Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.98 and 7.00, respectively. We have considered Himax Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Himax Technologies is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Himax Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Himax Technologies Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Himax Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Himax Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Himax Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.32 | 2.01 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.83 | 4.99 | 0.40 |
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Himax Technologies Hype Timeline
Himax Technologies is currently traded for 4.83. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Himax is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 4.99 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.4%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.32%. The volatility of related hype on Himax Technologies is about 3066.1%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.85. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 947.47 M. Net Income was 50.73 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 487.11 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Himax Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Himax Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Himax Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Himax Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Himax Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Himax Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ASX | ASE Industrial Holding | 0.47 | 8 per month | 1.53 | 0.1 | 3.97 | (2.58) | 13.67 | |
| UMC | United Microelectronics | 0.02 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.00 | (2.57) | 7.38 | |
| MXL | MaxLinear | 0.49 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 4.85 | (4.83) | 15.20 | |
| LEDS | SemiLEDS | (0.06) | 6 per month | 4.82 | 0.05 | 12.88 | (8.09) | 52.73 | |
| SIMO | Silicon Motion Technology | (1.14) | 8 per month | 1.30 | 0.11 | 2.64 | (1.98) | 6.83 | |
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing | 0.98 | 8 per month | 1.69 | 0.14 | 4.89 | (2.67) | 14.81 | |
| NA | Nano Labs | 0.07 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 15.48 | (13.64) | 125.60 | |
| IMOS | ChipMOS Technologies | (0.03) | 8 per month | 1.53 | 0.02 | 3.60 | (2.41) | 10.13 | |
| WKEY | Wisekey International Holding | (0.21) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 11.76 | (12.46) | 29.04 |
Himax Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Himax price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Himax using various technical indicators. When you analyze Himax charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Himax Technologies Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Himax Technologies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Himax Technologies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Himax Technologies based on analysis of Himax Technologies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Himax Technologies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Himax Technologies's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.017 | 0.2 | 0.0794 | 0.0704 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.12 | 1.06 |
Story Coverage note for Himax Technologies
The number of cover stories for Himax Technologies depends on current market conditions and Himax Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Himax Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Himax Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Himax Technologies Short Properties
Himax Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Himax Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Himax Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Himax Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Himax Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 174.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 659.3 M |
Check out Himax Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Himax Stock please use our How to Invest in Himax Technologies guide.You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Complementary Tools for Himax Stock analysis
When running Himax Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Himax Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Himax Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Himax Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Himax Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Himax Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Himax Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Himax Technologies' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Himax Technologies. If investors know Himax will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Himax Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.49) | Earnings Share 0.28 | Revenue Per Share 5.418 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.13) | Return On Assets 0.0162 |
The market value of Himax Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Himax that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Himax Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Himax Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Himax Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Himax Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Himax Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Himax Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Himax Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.