John Hancock Tax Advantaged Fund Price Prediction

HTY Fund  USD 5.09  0.01  0.20%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of John Hancock's stock price is slightly above 64. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling a stock, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

64

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
John Hancock Tax-adv fund price prediction is an act of determining the future value of John Hancock shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of John Hancock's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of John Hancock and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from John Hancock's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with John Hancock Tax Advantaged, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether fund price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of John Hancock based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The John price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on John Hancock over a specific investment horizon. Using John Hancock hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of John Hancock Tax Advantaged from the perspective of John Hancock response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in John Hancock. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in John Hancock to buy its fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying John because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

John Hancock after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 5.08  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out John Hancock Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of John Hancock's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of John Hancock in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.735.506.27
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as John Hancock. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against John Hancock's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, John Hancock's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in John Hancock Tax-adv.

John Hancock After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of John Hancock at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in John Hancock or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Fund prices, such as prices of John Hancock, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

John Hancock Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting John Hancock's fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on John Hancock's historical news coverage. John Hancock's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.31 and 5.85, respectively. We have considered John Hancock's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
5.09
5.08
After-hype Price
5.85
Upside
John Hancock is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of John Hancock Tax-adv is based on 3 months time horizon.

John Hancock Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Fund such as John Hancock is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading John Hancock backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with John Hancock, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.12 
0.76
  0.01 
  0.01 
10 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
5.09
5.08
0.20 
1,086  
Notes

John Hancock Hype Timeline

On the 18th of March 2024 John Hancock Tax-adv is traded for 5.09. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. John is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 5.08. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.2% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on John Hancock is about 1052.31% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 5.08. About 26.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 530.0. John Hancock Tax-adv last dividend was issued on the 9th of September 2022. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out John Hancock Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

John Hancock Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to John Hancock's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict John Hancock's future price movements. Getting to know how John Hancock rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how John Hancock may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PHKPimco High Income(0.06)3 per month 0.37 (0.04) 1.68 (0.84) 3.43 
PTYPimco Corporate Income(0.28)4 per month 0.46  0.01  0.96 (0.83) 3.72 
HYTBlackrock Corporate High(0.07)4 per month 0.26  0.03  1.34 (1.07) 4.29 
NEANuveen Amt Free Municipal(0.07)5 per month 0.48 (0.16) 0.92 (0.73) 2.86 
DNPDnp Select Income 0.08 7 per month 0.91 (0.01) 2.28 (1.73) 7.06 
CSQCalamos Strategic Total(0.07)2 per month 0.53  0.07  1.38 (1.21) 3.94 
PFNPimco Income Strategy(0.11)3 per month 0.44 (0.03) 1.31 (0.87) 3.40 
MHDBlackrock Muniholdings Closed(0.07)2 per month 0.41 (0.13) 1.11 (0.76) 2.50 
AMGAXAlger Midcap Growth 0.00 0 per month 0.75  0.05  2.01 (1.72) 4.10 

John Hancock Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine John price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for John using various technical indicators. When you analyze John charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About John Hancock Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of John Hancock stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as John Hancock Tax Advantaged, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of John Hancock based on analysis of John Hancock hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to John Hancock's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to John Hancock's related companies.

Story Coverage note for John Hancock

The number of cover stories for John Hancock depends on current market conditions and John Hancock's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that John Hancock is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about John Hancock's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

John Hancock Short Properties

John Hancock's future price predictability will typically decrease when John Hancock's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of John Hancock Tax Advantaged often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential John Hancock's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. John Hancock's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Check out John Hancock Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.

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When running John Hancock's price analysis, check to measure John Hancock's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy John Hancock is operating at the current time. Most of John Hancock's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of John Hancock's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move John Hancock's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of John Hancock to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between John Hancock's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if John Hancock is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, John Hancock's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.