Harvest Gold Stock Volatility
| HVGDF Stock | USD 0.01 0.00 0.00% |
Harvest Gold is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. Harvest Gold holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0771, which attests that the entity had a 0.0771% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to break down sixteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.54% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Harvest Gold Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (1.01), standard deviation of 19.39, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0554 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Key indicators related to Harvest Gold's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Harvest Gold Pink Sheet volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Harvest daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Harvest's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Harvest Gold volatility.
Harvest |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Harvest Gold can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Harvest Gold at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Harvest stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Harvest Gold's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Harvest Gold Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Harvest Gold's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Harvest pink sheet compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Harvest pink sheet's returns against your selected market. In other words, Harvest Gold's beta of -1.41 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Harvest Gold pink sheet can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Harvest Gold is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Harvest Gold is a penny stock. Although Harvest Gold may be in fact a good investment, many penny pink sheets are subject to artificial price hype. Make sure you completely understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Harvest Gold. We encourage investors to look for signals such as message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, email spams, sudden volume upswings, and other similar hype indicators. We also encourage traders to check biographies and work history of company officers before investing in instruments with high volatility. You can indeed make money on Harvest instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny pink sheets that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Harvest Gold Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Harvest Gold correlation with market (NYSE Composite)Harvest Beta |
Harvest standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 20.02 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Harvest Gold's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Harvest Gold's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in harvest pink sheet tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Harvest Gold.
Harvest Gold Pink Sheet Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Harvest Gold pink sheet price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Harvest Gold's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Harvest Gold's pink sheet to predict their future moves. A pink sheet that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A pink sheet with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile pink sheet is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Harvest Gold's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of pink sheet volatility measures Harvest Gold's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Harvest Gold's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the pink sheet.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Harvest Gold's current market price. This means that the pink sheet will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Harvest Gold's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Harvest Gold Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Harvest Gold Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days horizon Harvest Gold has a beta of -1.4101 . This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Harvest Gold are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Harvest Gold is expected to outperform its benchmark.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Harvest Gold or Basic Materials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Harvest Gold's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Harvest pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Harvest Gold has an alpha of 1.546, implying that it can generate a 1.55 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Harvest Gold Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a pink sheet's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Harvest Gold Pink Sheet Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Harvest Gold is 1296.98. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 400.65 and standard deviation of 20.02. The mean deviation of Harvest Gold is currently at 6.35. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.61
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 1.55 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -1.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 20.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Harvest Gold Pink Sheet Return Volatility
Harvest Gold historical daily return volatility represents how much of Harvest Gold pink sheet's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company shows 20.0161% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6294% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Harvest Gold Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Harvest Gold or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Harvest Gold may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Harvest's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Harvest Gold and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Harvest Gold fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.Harvest Gold Corporation, an exploration stage company, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of natural resource properties. Harvest Gold Corporation was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada. HARVEST GOLD is traded on OTC Exchange in the United States.
Harvest Gold's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Harvest Pink Sheet over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Harvest Gold's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Harvest Gold's volatility to invest better
Higher Harvest Gold's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Harvest Gold stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Harvest Gold stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Harvest Gold investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Harvest Gold's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Harvest Gold's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Harvest Gold Investment Opportunity
Harvest Gold has a volatility of 20.02 and is 31.78 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Harvest Gold is higher than 96 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Harvest Gold to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The pink sheet experiences a normal downward fluctuation but is a risky buy. Check odds of Harvest Gold to be traded at $0.0149 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between Harvest Gold and NYA is -0.04 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Harvest Gold and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Harvest Gold Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Harvest Gold's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Harvest Gold's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Harvest Gold pink sheet's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0554 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (1.01) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 5.97 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1337.74 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 19.39 | |||
| Variance | 376.13 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0704 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential pink sheets, we recommend comparing similar pink sheets with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Harvest Gold Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Harvest Gold as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Harvest Gold's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Harvest Gold's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Harvest Gold.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Harvest Gold. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment. Note that the Harvest Gold information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Harvest Gold's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Complementary Tools for Harvest Pink Sheet analysis
When running Harvest Gold's price analysis, check to measure Harvest Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Harvest Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Harvest Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Harvest Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Harvest Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Harvest Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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