International Business Price Prediction

International Business Machines Corporation -- USA Stock  

USD 156.69  0.49  0.31%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring International Business headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with International Business Machines Corporation brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With International Business hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of International Business Machines Corporation from the prospective of International Business response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on International Business over a specific investment horizon. Please also check International Business Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

International Business Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

 Next price density 
Expected price to next headline
March 21, 2018
Current Value
Downside upside
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
Upside upside
International Business is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of International Business is based on 1 month time horizon.

International Business Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.05% 1.17% 0.09%  0.01% 2 Events / Month2 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

International Business Hype Timeline

On 21 of March International Business Machines Corporation is traded for 156.69. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.09 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. International Business Machines Corporation is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 156.6. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 68.02%. The closing price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.06% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.05%. The volatility of related hype on International Business is about 668.57% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 156.68. About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.14. International Business Machines Corporation last dividend was issued on 2018-02-08. This company had 2:1 split on 1999-05-27. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in a few days.
Please also check International Business Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

International Business Related Hype Analysis

Short fall
At Risk
Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc(1.04) 2 per month 0.00  0.51 (1.14)  2.16 (0.64)  3.50 
CA Inc(0.21) 2 per month 0.83  0.10 (0.74)  1.66 (1.19)  4.12 
Gartner Inc 0.26 2 per month 1.23  0.24 (1.23)  2.34 (1.96)  4.49 
Workday Inc 1.39 1 per month 1.31  0.18 (1.48)  2.39 (2.15)  8.67 
F5 Networks Inc(0.70) 2 per month 1.41  0.19 (0.98)  2.40 (1.54)  6.59 
CDK Global Inc(0.75) 2 per month 0.00 (0.0782)  0.00  1.24 (1.37)  3.49