International Business Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

IBM -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: December 31, 2019  

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with International Business Machines which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With International Business hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of International Business Machines from the prospective of International Business response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on International Business over a specific investment horizon. Please also check International Business Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

International Business After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

International Business Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
133.76
December 14, 2019
130.80
Downside
134.07
After-hype Price
137.34
Upside
International Business is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of International Business is based on 3 months time horizon.

International Business Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.09  1.09  0.14   0.01  8 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
133.76134.070.10 
68.99  

International Business Hype Timeline

On the 14th of December 2019 International Business is traded for 133.76. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.14 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. International Business Machines is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 134.07. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 68.99%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.1% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.09%. The volatility of related hype on International Business is about 656.63% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 133.75. About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.69. International Business last dividend was issued on 2019-11-07. The entity had 2:1 split on 1999-05-27. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days.
Please also check International Business Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

International Business Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Genpact Limited(0.12) 10 per month 1.33  0.0176  1.49 (2.28)  4.97 
Broadridge Financial Solutions 0.63 7 per month 0.00 (0.0454)  1.47 (1.91)  12.49 
Gartner(1.32) 11 per month 0.64  0.15  1.86 (1.44)  6.82 
Digimarc Corporation(0.56) 9 per month 0.00 (0.11)  4.61 (4.60)  20.18 
EPAM Systems 1.84 8 per month 2.06  0.08  3.40 (2.85)  12.41 
ExlService Holdings 0.25 11 per month 0.85 (0.0183)  1.46 (1.46)  5.66 
Accenture Plc(0.64) 9 per month 0.96  0.0371  1.35 (1.49)  4.53 
CDW Corporation(1.99) 8 per month 1.04  0.16  2.57 (1.72)  9.98 
Computer Task Group Incorporat 0.09 10 per month 1.87  0.05  3.61 (3.77)  11.26 
DXC Technology Company 0.16 10 per month 2.21  0.06  4.05 (3.91)  22.85 

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